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Predictions › Germany › Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
BundesligaSat 31 Oct, 14:30 Germany time

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

BayArena

Bayer LeverkusenHome
2.18 : 1.38
expected goals
VfB StuttgartAway
55%Leverkusen
21%Draw
23%Stuttgart
Eagle safe pickBayer Leverkusen or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Bayer Leverkusen 2.2, VfB Stuttgart 1.4
Best bet
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bayer Leverkusen or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bayer Leverkusen to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bayer Leverkusen 55%, the draw 21% and VfB Stuttgart 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 1.74.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bayer Leverkusen took 15 points from their last 5 games and VfB Stuttgart took 7 from 5. Bayer Leverkusen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bayer Leverkusen won 6 of their last 10 games at home. VfB Stuttgart won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bayer Leverkusen score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. VfB Stuttgart score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Bayer Leverkusen games and 12 of VfB Stuttgart games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and VfB Stuttgart won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended VfB Stuttgart 3, Bayer Leverkusen 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bayer Leverkusen or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Leverkusenrecent form+6%
  • Stuttgartrest between games-5%
Leverkusen form D W W W WStuttgart form D L W W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: Bayer Leverkusen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 at BayArena. Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.30.

Bayer Leverkusen form

Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

VfB Stuttgart form

VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bayer Leverkusen won 0, VfB Stuttgart won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished VfB Stuttgart 3, Bayer Leverkusen 1.

Our call

We expect Bayer Leverkusen to score about 2.2 goals and VfB Stuttgart about 1.4. That points to Bayer Leverkusen to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Bayer Leverkusen to win and Over 2.5 at 2.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LeverkusenStuttgart
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws64
Losses48
Goals scored4637
Goals conceded3031
Scored per game2.31.9
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record6W 3D 1L5W 2D 3L
Away record4W 3D 3L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored70%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Bayer Leverkusen to win51%1.951.74-10.6%
A Draw21%4.844.10-15.3%
VfB Stuttgart to win22%4.483.55-20.8%
Over 3.5 goals49%2.061.77-14.0%
Under 3.5 goals47%2.111.95-7.6%
Bayer Leverkusen -0.551%1.981.69-14.5%
VfB Stuttgart +0.545%2.211.95-11.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.45
Over 3.5 goals48%2.10
Both teams to score67%1.50
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw77%1.30
VfB Stuttgart or Draw45%2.24
Bayer Leverkusen to win and Over 2.543%2.33
VfB Stuttgart to win and Over 2.517%5.83
Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet25%3.96
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet11%8.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.3%
1-19.1%
3-16.8%
2-06.8%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Real Madrid Eye Bayer Leverkusen Star Jarell Quansah

Real Madrid are tracking former Liverpool defender Jarell Quansah ahead of next summer, while several Premier League clubs eye Jules Kounde.

1 Oct 2026
Premier League

Is Liverpool Giving Up on Florian Wirtz Too Soon?

Florian Wirtz has struggled to match his Leverkusen form at Liverpool, but stats show why the club made a record investment.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect Bayer Leverkusen to score 2.2 goals and VfB Stuttgart 1.4.

Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Bayer Leverkusen last 20 games and 12 of VfB Stuttgart last 20.

How are Bayer Leverkusen playing?

Bayer Leverkusen have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are VfB Stuttgart playing?

VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart last met?

It ended VfB Stuttgart 3, Bayer Leverkusen 1. In the last 2 meetings Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and VfB Stuttgart won 2.

What is the best bet for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Bayer Leverkusen or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Leverkusen against Stuttgart. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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