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Predictions › United States › Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars prediction

LaVell Edwards Stadium

Baylor BearsAway
23.7 : 27.8
projected points
BYU CougarsHome
45%Baylor
55%BYU
Eagle safe pickBaylor +14.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars is BYU Cougars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baylor Bears 23.7 and BYU Cougars 27.8. Our best bet is Baylor +14.5 at -305.

Prediction
BYU Cougars to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Baylor Bears 24, BYU Cougars 28
Projected total
51.6 points
Best bet
Baylor +14.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Baylor +14.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Baylor to win
38% chanceFair price +1601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives BYU Cougars 55% and Baylor Bears 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    BYU Cougars won 4 of their last 5 and Baylor Bears won 3 of their last 5. BYU Cougars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    BYU Cougars won 10 of their last 10 games at home. Baylor Bears won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    BYU Cougars score 30.1 points a game and let in 20.8. Baylor Bears score 30.3 and let in 23.9. Their recent games average 50.9 and 54.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Baylor +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars: BYU Cougars shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

BYU Cougars host Baylor Bears in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars is BYU Cougars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baylor Bears 23.7 and BYU Cougars 27.8. Our best bet is Baylor +14.5 at -305.

BYU Cougars form

BYU Cougars have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 603 points scored and 415 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Baylor Bears form

Baylor Bears have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 546 points scored and 430 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Baylor Bears to score about 23.7 points and BYU Cougars about 27.8. That points to BYU Cougars to win. Our safest bet is Baylor +14.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Baylor to win at +160.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BYUBaylor
Games played2018
Wins179
Losses39
Points scored603546
Points conceded415430
Scored per game30.130.3
Conceded per game20.823.9
Home record10W 0L6W 4L
Away record7W 3L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

BYU spreadCoversFair
BYU -11.532%+211
BYU -7.542%+141
BYU -4.549%+104
BYU -1.556%-129
BYU +2.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.558%42%
51.550%50%
54.543%57%
58.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. BYU +3.5 wins if BYU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Big 12 Admits Replay Error on BYU Touchdown Against Arizona State

The Big 12 acknowledged an officiating error that incorrectly awarded BYU a first quarter touchdown in their 27-20 victory over Arizona State.

1 Nov 2026
College Football

Baylor Dominates UCF 41-9 in Coach Joe Klanderman Debut

DJ Lagway threw four touchdowns as Baylor rolled to a 41-9 victory over UCF in Joe Klanderman's coaching debut.

31 Oct 2026
College Football

Big 12 Fines UCF $100,000 and Sets New In Game Penalty Rule

The Big 12 fined UCF $100,000 after offensive chants against BYU and introduced strict new in game penalties for fan behavior.

29 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars?

Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars is BYU Cougars to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baylor Bears 23.7 and BYU Cougars 27.8. Our best bet is Baylor +14.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars?

We project Baylor Bears 23.7 and BYU Cougars 27.8, about 51.6 points in total.

How are BYU Cougars playing?

BYU Cougars have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 603 points scored and 415 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Baylor Bears playing?

Baylor Bears have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 546 points scored and 430 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars?

Baylor +14.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in BYU against Baylor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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