Predictions › Argentina › Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 1 Nov, 21:30 Argentina time

Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central prediction

El Gigante de Alberdi

Belgrano (Córdoba)Home
1.02 : 0.92
expected goals
Barracas CentralAway
36%Belgrano
33%Draw
31%Barracas
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.43

Quick answer

Our prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.43.

Prediction
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.0, Barracas Central 0.9
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.43
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
70% chanceFair price 1.431 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Belgrano (Córdoba) 36%, the draw 33% and Barracas Central 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Belgrano (Córdoba) took 10 points from their last 5 games and Barracas Central took 8 from 5. Belgrano (Córdoba) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Belgrano (Córdoba) won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Barracas Central won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Belgrano (Córdoba) score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.7. Barracas Central score 0.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Belgrano (Córdoba) games and 6 of Barracas Central games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0 and Barracas Central won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Barracas Central 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Belgrano recent form+4%
  • Barracasrecent form+1%
Belgrano form D W W W DBarracas form D W W L DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central: Belgrano (Córdoba) shade it

The big picture

Belgrano (Córdoba) host Barracas Central in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 at El Gigante de Alberdi. Our prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.43.

Belgrano (Córdoba) form

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Barracas Central form

Barracas Central have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0, Barracas Central won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barracas Central 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 0.

Our call

We expect Belgrano (Córdoba) to score about 1.0 goals and Barracas Central about 0.9. That points to Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.43. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Belgrano Barracas
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws67
Losses46
Goals scored2518
Goals conceded1417
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game0.70.8
Home record5W 1D 4L3W 2D 5L
Away record5W 5D 0L4W 5D 1L
Clean sheets50%40%
Both teams scored35%45%
Over 2.5 goals30%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals59%1.71
Over 2.5 goals31%3.26
Over 3.5 goals13%7.58
Both teams to score39%2.55
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw69%1.45
Barracas Central or Draw64%1.56
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.515%6.79
Barracas Central to win and Over 2.512%8.06
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet40%2.51
Barracas Central clean sheet36%2.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.2%
1-114.3%
1-013.8%
0-112.5%
2-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central?

Our prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.43.

What is the score prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 1.0 goals and Barracas Central 0.9.

Will both teams score in Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Belgrano (Córdoba) last 20 games and 9 of Barracas Central last 20.

How are Belgrano (Córdoba) playing?

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Barracas Central playing?

Barracas Central have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Belgrano (Córdoba) and Barracas Central last met?

It ended Barracas Central 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 0. In the last 2 meetings Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0 and Barracas Central won 0.

What is the best bet for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs Barracas Central?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.43, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Belgrano against Barracas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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