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Predictions › Argentina › Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 18 Oct, 23:15 Argentina time

Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate prediction

El Gigante de Alberdi

Belgrano (Córdoba)Home
1.15 : 0.90
expected goals
River PlateAway
41%Belgrano
32%Draw
28%River Plate
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1, River Plate 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Belgrano (Córdoba) 41%, the draw 32% and River Plate 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Belgrano (Córdoba) took 9 points from their last 5 games and River Plate took 10 from 5. River Plate come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Belgrano (Córdoba) won 6 of their last 10 games at home. River Plate won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Belgrano (Córdoba) score 1.2 goals a game and let in 0.7. River Plate score 1.5 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Belgrano (Córdoba) games and 9 of River Plate games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 and River Plate won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended River Plate 2, Belgrano (Córdoba) 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Belgrano recent form+3%
  • River Platerecent form+3%
Belgrano form W W D D DRiver Plate form L W W W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate: Belgrano (Córdoba) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Belgrano (Córdoba) host River Plate in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 18 Oct, 23:15 at El Gigante de Alberdi. Our prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Belgrano (Córdoba) form

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

River Plate form

River Plate have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1, River Plate won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished River Plate 2, Belgrano (Córdoba) 3.

Our call

We expect Belgrano (Córdoba) to score about 1.1 goals and River Plate about 0.9. That points to Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Belgrano River Plate
Games played2020
Wins1010
Draws62
Losses48
Goals scored2430
Goals conceded1420
Scored per game1.21.5
Conceded per game0.71.0
Home record6W 1D 3L6W 2D 6L
Away record4W 5D 1L4W 0D 2L
Clean sheets50%30%
Both teams scored35%40%
Over 2.5 goals30%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals61%1.63
Over 2.5 goals34%2.97
Over 3.5 goals15%6.59
Both teams to score41%2.42
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw72%1.38
River Plate or Draw59%1.69
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.518%5.52
River Plate to win and Over 2.512%8.58
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet41%2.45
River Plate clean sheet32%3.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
1-014.0%
0-013.7%
0-110.8%
2-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate?

Our prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 1.1 goals and River Plate 0.9.

Will both teams score in Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Belgrano (Córdoba) last 20 games and 8 of River Plate last 20.

How are Belgrano (Córdoba) playing?

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are River Plate playing?

River Plate have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Belgrano (Córdoba) and River Plate last met?

It ended River Plate 2, Belgrano (Córdoba) 3. In the last 2 meetings Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 and River Plate won 1.

What is the best bet for Belgrano (Córdoba) vs River Plate?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Belgrano against River Plate. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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