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Predictions › Italy › Benevento vs Catanzaro
Serie BTue 27 Oct, 18:00 Italy time

Benevento vs Catanzaro prediction

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

BeneventoHome
1.83 : 1.19
expected goals
CatanzaroAway
52%Benevento
24%Draw
24%Catanzaro
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Benevento vs Catanzaro is Benevento to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Benevento to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Benevento 1.8, Catanzaro 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Benevento to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Benevento 52%, the draw 24% and Catanzaro 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Benevento took 10 points from their last 5 games and Catanzaro took 4 from 5. Benevento come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Benevento won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Catanzaro won 0 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Benevento score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.0. Catanzaro score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Benevento games and 12 of Catanzaro games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Beneventorecent form+3%
  • Catanzarorecent form-3%
  • Beneventorest between games-5%
  • Catanzarorest between games-5%
Benevento form D W W W LCatanzaro form D L L W LHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Benevento vs Catanzaro: Benevento are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Benevento host Catanzaro in the Serie B on Tue 27 Oct, 18:00 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Our prediction for Benevento vs Catanzaro is Benevento to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Benevento form

Benevento have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Catanzaro form

Catanzaro have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Benevento to score about 1.8 goals and Catanzaro about 1.2. That points to Benevento to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Benevento to win and Over 2.5 at 2.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BeneventoCatanzaro
Games played720
Wins34
Draws26
Losses210
Goals scored1028
Goals conceded734
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.01.7
Home record2W 2D 1L4W 2D 3L
Away record1W 0D 1L0W 4D 7L
Clean sheets29%20%
Both teams scored57%65%
Over 2.5 goals43%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%2.79
Both teams to score59%1.69
Benevento or Draw76%1.32
Catanzaro or Draw48%2.07
Benevento to win and Over 2.535%2.83
Catanzaro to win and Over 2.516%6.44
Benevento clean sheet30%3.30
Catanzaro clean sheet16%6.26

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.7%
1-08.2%
2-08.1%
1-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?

Our prediction for Benevento vs Catanzaro is Benevento to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Benevento vs Catanzaro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Benevento to score 1.8 goals and Catanzaro 1.2.

Will both teams score in Benevento vs Catanzaro?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Benevento last 7 games and 13 of Catanzaro last 20.

How are Benevento playing?

Benevento have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Catanzaro playing?

Catanzaro have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Benevento vs Catanzaro?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Benevento against Catanzaro. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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