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Predictions › Italy › Benevento vs Vicenza
Serie BSat 17 Oct, 13:00 Italy time

Benevento vs Vicenza prediction

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

BeneventoHome
1.75 : 1.10
expected goals
VicenzaAway
52%Benevento
25%Draw
23%Vicenza
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Benevento vs Vicenza is Benevento to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Benevento to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Benevento 1.8, Vicenza 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Benevento to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Benevento 52%, the draw 25% and Vicenza 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Benevento took 7 points from their last 5 games and Vicenza took 5 from 5. Benevento come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Benevento won 1 of their last 3 games at home. Vicenza won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Benevento score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.0. Vicenza score 1.4 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Benevento games and 4 of Vicenza games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vicenzarecent form-1%
Benevento form W W L D LVicenza form L D D L WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Benevento vs Vicenza: Benevento are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Benevento host Vicenza in the Serie B on Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Our prediction for Benevento vs Vicenza is Benevento to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Benevento form

Benevento have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Vicenza form

Vicenza have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Benevento to score about 1.8 goals and Vicenza about 1.1. That points to Benevento to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Benevento to win and Over 2.5 at 3.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 5 games in all competitions.

BeneventoVicenza
Games played55
Wins21
Draws12
Losses22
Goals scored67
Goals conceded510
Scored per game1.21.4
Conceded per game1.02.0
Home record1W 1D 1L1W 1D 0L
Away record1W 0D 1L0W 1D 2L
Clean sheets20%0%
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals40%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.12
Both teams to score56%1.79
Benevento or Draw77%1.30
Vicenza or Draw48%2.08
Benevento to win and Over 2.534%2.97
Vicenza to win and Over 2.514%7.12
Benevento clean sheet33%3.02
Vicenza clean sheet17%5.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-19.7%
1-09.4%
2-08.8%
0-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Benevento vs Vicenza?

Our prediction for Benevento vs Vicenza is Benevento to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Benevento vs Vicenza?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Benevento to score 1.8 goals and Vicenza 1.1.

Will both teams score in Benevento vs Vicenza?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Benevento last 5 games and 4 of Vicenza last 5.

How are Benevento playing?

Benevento have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Vicenza playing?

Vicenza have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 10 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Benevento vs Vicenza?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Benevento against Vicenza. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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