Predictions › India › Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC

Indian Super LeagueSat 17 Oct, 19:30 India time

Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC prediction

Sree Kanteerava Stadium

Bengaluru FCHome

1.33 : 0.69

expected goals

Chennaiyin FCAway

51%Bengaluru

30%Draw

19%Chennaiyin

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Bengaluru FC to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Bengaluru FC 1.3, Chennaiyin FC 0.7
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0

17% chanceFair price 5.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bengaluru FC 51%, the draw 30% and Chennaiyin FC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Bengaluru FC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Chennaiyin FC took 1 from 5. Bengaluru FC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bengaluru FC won 1 of their last 6 games at home. Chennaiyin FC won 1 of their last 7 on the road.
4
Goals
Bengaluru FC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. Chennaiyin FC score 0.7 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Bengaluru FC games and 5 of Chennaiyin FC games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Bengaluru FC won 1 and Chennaiyin FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Chennaiyin FC 1, Bengaluru FC 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bengalururecent form+3%
Chennaiyinrecent form-6%
Bengalururest between games-3%
Chennaiyinrest between games-3%

Bengaluru form W W D D DChennaiyin form L L L L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC: Bengaluru FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bengaluru FC host Chennaiyin FC in the Indian Super League on Sat 17 Oct, 19:30 at Sree Kanteerava Stadium. Our prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Bengaluru FC form

Bengaluru FC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 13 games, with 18 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Chennaiyin FC form

Chennaiyin FC have 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 13 games, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bengaluru FC won 1, Chennaiyin FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chennaiyin FC 1, Bengaluru FC 2.

Our call

We expect Bengaluru FC to score about 1.3 goals and Chennaiyin FC about 0.7. That points to Bengaluru FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

	Bengaluru	Chennaiyin
Games played	13	13
Wins	6	2
Draws	5	3
Losses	2	8
Goals scored	18	9
Goals conceded	12	21
Scored per game	1.4	0.7
Conceded per game	0.9	1.6
Home record	1W 3D 2L	1W 2D 3L
Away record	5W 2D 0L	1W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	38%	23%
Both teams scored	54%	54%
Over 2.5 goals	38%	38%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	61%	1.64
Over 2.5 goals	33%	3.03
Over 3.5 goals	15%	6.78
Both teams to score	38%	2.66
Bengaluru FC or Draw	81%	1.23
Chennaiyin FC or Draw	49%	2.05
Bengaluru FC to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.39
Chennaiyin FC to win and Over 2.5	7%	13.99
Bengaluru FC clean sheet	50%	2.00
Chennaiyin FC clean sheet	26%	3.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.8%

0-013.9%

1-112.9%

2-011.7%

0-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC?

Our prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Bengaluru FC to score 1.3 goals and Chennaiyin FC 0.7.

Will both teams score in Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Bengaluru FC last 13 games and 7 of Chennaiyin FC last 13.

How are Bengaluru FC playing?

How are Chennaiyin FC playing?

What happened when Bengaluru FC and Chennaiyin FC last met?

It ended Chennaiyin FC 1, Bengaluru FC 2. In the last 1 meeting Bengaluru FC won 1 and Chennaiyin FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Bengaluru FC vs Chennaiyin FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bengaluru against Chennaiyin. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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