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Predictions › India › Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC
Indian Super LeagueFri 20 Nov, 19:30 India time

Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC prediction

Sree Kanteerava Stadium

Bengaluru FCHome
1.05 : 0.93
expected goals
Mumbai City FCAway
37%Bengaluru
33%Draw
31%Mumbai City
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Bengaluru FC to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Bengaluru FC 1.1, Mumbai City FC 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bengaluru FC 37%, the draw 33% and Mumbai City FC 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bengaluru FC took 13 points from their last 5 games and Mumbai City FC took 5 from 5. Bengaluru FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bengaluru FC won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Mumbai City FC won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bengaluru FC score 1.5 goals a game and let in 0.9. Mumbai City FC score 1.2 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Bengaluru FC games and 6 of Mumbai City FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Bengaluru FC won 0 and Mumbai City FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bengaluru FC 0, Mumbai City FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bengalururecent form+6%
  • Mumbai City recent form-1%
Bengaluru form W D W W WMumbai City form L D D L WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC: Bengaluru FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bengaluru FC host Mumbai City FC in the Indian Super League on Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 at Sree Kanteerava Stadium. Our prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Bengaluru FC form

Bengaluru FC have 9 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Mumbai City FC form

Mumbai City FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bengaluru FC won 0, Mumbai City FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bengaluru FC 0, Mumbai City FC 0.

Our call

We expect Bengaluru FC to score about 1.1 goals and Mumbai City FC about 0.9. That points to Bengaluru FC to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

BengaluruMumbai City
Games played1717
Wins97
Draws66
Losses24
Goals scored2621
Goals conceded1615
Scored per game1.51.2
Conceded per game0.90.9
Home record3W 3D 2L2W 2D 2L
Away record6W 3D 0L5W 4D 2L
Clean sheets35%47%
Both teams scored59%47%
Over 2.5 goals41%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%3.13
Over 3.5 goals14%7.13
Both teams to score40%2.48
Bengaluru FC or Draw69%1.44
Mumbai City FC or Draw63%1.58
Bengaluru FC to win and Over 2.516%6.41
Mumbai City FC to win and Over 2.513%7.92
Bengaluru FC clean sheet39%2.54
Mumbai City FC clean sheet35%2.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.5%
1-114.3%
1-013.6%
0-112.0%
2-07.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Our prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC is Bengaluru FC to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Bengaluru FC to score 1.1 goals and Mumbai City FC 0.9.

Will both teams score in Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Bengaluru FC last 17 games and 8 of Mumbai City FC last 17.

How are Bengaluru FC playing?

Bengaluru FC have 9 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Mumbai City FC playing?

Mumbai City FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Bengaluru FC and Mumbai City FC last met?

It ended Bengaluru FC 0, Mumbai City FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Bengaluru FC won 0 and Mumbai City FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Bengaluru FC vs Mumbai City FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bengaluru against Mumbai City . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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