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Predictions › Europa League › Besiktas vs Crystal Palace
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Besiktas vs Crystal Palace prediction

Vodafone Park

BesiktasHome
1.94 : 1.04
expected goals
Crystal PalaceAway
58%Besiktas
23%Draw
19%C Palace
Eagle safe pickBesiktas or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Crystal Palace is Besiktas to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Besiktas to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Besiktas 1.9, Crystal Palace 1.0
Best bet
Besiktas or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Besiktas or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Besiktas to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Besiktas 58%, the draw 23% and Crystal Palace 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Besiktas took 12 points from their last 5 games and Crystal Palace took 10 from 5. Besiktas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Besiktas won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Crystal Palace won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Besiktas score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.0. Crystal Palace score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Besiktas games and 16 of Crystal Palace games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Besiktas or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Besiktasrecent form+3%
  • C Palacerecent form+1%
  • Besiktasrest between games-5%
  • C Palacerest between games-5%
Besiktas form D L W W WC Palace form D D W L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Besiktas vs Crystal Palace: Besiktas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Besiktas host Crystal Palace in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Vodafone Park. Our prediction for Besiktas vs Crystal Palace is Besiktas to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.27.

Besiktas form

Besiktas have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Besiktas to score about 1.9 goals and Crystal Palace about 1.0. That points to Besiktas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Besiktas to win and Over 2.5 at 2.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BesiktasC Palace
Games played2020
Wins128
Draws24
Losses68
Goals scored3931
Goals conceded2032
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.01.6
Home record8W 1D 2L6W 2D 3L
Away record4W 1D 4L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.86
Both teams to score56%1.78
Besiktas or Draw81%1.24
Crystal Palace or Draw42%2.37
Besiktas to win and Over 2.539%2.56
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.512%8.43
Besiktas clean sheet35%2.84
Crystal Palace clean sheet14%6.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.9%
2-09.5%
1-09.2%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Besiktas vs Crystal Palace?

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Crystal Palace is Besiktas to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Besiktas vs Crystal Palace?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Besiktas to score 1.9 goals and Crystal Palace 1.0.

Will both teams score in Besiktas vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Besiktas last 20 games and 12 of Crystal Palace last 20.

How are Besiktas playing?

Besiktas have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

Crystal Palace have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Besiktas vs Crystal Palace?

Besiktas or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Besiktas against C Palace. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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