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Predictions › Turkey › Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi
Super LigSun 8 Nov, 18:00 Turkey time

Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi prediction

Vodafone Park

BesiktasHome
2.35 : 0.57
expected goals
GenclerbirligiAway
77%Besiktas
16%Draw
7%Genclerbirli
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi is Besiktas to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Besiktas to win
Chance
77%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Besiktas 2.4, Genclerbirligi 0.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Besiktas to win and both score
26% chanceFair price 3.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Besiktas 77%, the draw 16% and Genclerbirligi 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Besiktas took 10 points from their last 5 games and Genclerbirligi took 1 from 5. Besiktas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Besiktas won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Genclerbirligi won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Besiktas score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Genclerbirligi score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Besiktas games and 9 of Genclerbirligi games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Besiktas won 1 and Genclerbirligi won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Genclerbirligi 0, Besiktas 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Besiktasrecent form+1%
  • Genclerbirlirecent form-4%
Besiktas form D D L W WGenclerbirli form D L D L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi: Besiktas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Besiktas host Genclerbirligi in the Super Lig on Sun 8 Nov, 18:00 at Vodafone Park. Our prediction for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi is Besiktas to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Besiktas form

Besiktas have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Genclerbirligi form

Genclerbirligi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Besiktas won 1, Genclerbirligi won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Genclerbirligi 0, Besiktas 2.

Our call

We expect Besiktas to score about 2.4 goals and Genclerbirligi about 0.6. That points to Besiktas to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Besiktas to win and both score at 3.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BesiktasGenclerbirli
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws34
Losses611
Goals scored3915
Goals conceded2531
Scored per game1.90.8
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record8W 2D 1L3W 3D 5L
Away record3W 1D 5L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored60%30%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals34%2.98
Both teams to score40%2.50
Besiktas or Draw93%1.07
Genclerbirligi or Draw23%4.30
Besiktas to win and Over 2.550%2.01
Genclerbirligi to win and Over 2.53%29.77
Besiktas clean sheet56%1.78
Genclerbirligi clean sheet10%10.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-014.8%
1-012.2%
3-011.6%
2-18.5%
1-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi is Besiktas to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Besiktas to score 2.4 goals and Genclerbirligi 0.6.

Will both teams score in Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Besiktas last 20 games and 6 of Genclerbirligi last 20.

How are Besiktas playing?

Besiktas have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Genclerbirligi playing?

Genclerbirligi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Besiktas and Genclerbirligi last met?

It ended Genclerbirligi 0, Besiktas 2. In the last 2 meetings Besiktas won 1 and Genclerbirligi won 1.

What is the best bet for Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Besiktas against Genclerbirli. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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