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Predictions › Turkey › Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Super LigMon 26 Oct, 16:00 Turkey time

Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction

Vodafone Park

BesiktasHome
1.90 : 0.95
expected goals
Istanbul BasaksehirAway
59%Besiktas
23%Draw
18%Istanbul BB
Eagle safe pickBesiktas or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Besiktas to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Besiktas to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Besiktas 1.9, Istanbul Basaksehir 0.9
Best bet
Besiktas or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Besiktas or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Besiktas to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Besiktas 59%, the draw 23% and Istanbul Basaksehir 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Besiktas took 12 points from their last 5 games and Istanbul Basaksehir took 5 from 5. Besiktas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Besiktas won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Istanbul Basaksehir won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Besiktas score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.1. Istanbul Basaksehir score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Besiktas games and 13 of Istanbul Basaksehir games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Besiktas won 2 and Istanbul Basaksehir won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Besiktas 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Besiktas or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Besiktasrecent form+3%
  • Istanbul BBrecent form-1%
  • Besiktasrest between games-5%
Besiktas form D W L W WIstanbul BB form D W L L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Besiktas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Besiktas host Istanbul Basaksehir in the Super Lig on Mon 26 Oct, 16:00 at Vodafone Park. Our prediction for Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Besiktas to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.24.

Besiktas form

Besiktas have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Istanbul Basaksehir form

Istanbul Basaksehir have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Besiktas won 2, Istanbul Basaksehir won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Besiktas 3.

Our call

We expect Besiktas to score about 1.9 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir about 0.9. That points to Besiktas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Besiktas to win and Over 2.5 at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BesiktasIstanbul BB
Games played2020
Wins129
Draws25
Losses66
Goals scored3832
Goals conceded2224
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.11.2
Home record7W 1D 2L7W 2D 2L
Away record5W 1D 4L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.12
Both teams to score53%1.89
Besiktas or Draw82%1.22
Istanbul Basaksehir or Draw41%2.44
Besiktas to win and Over 2.538%2.61
Istanbul Basaksehir to win and Over 2.510%9.67
Besiktas clean sheet39%2.60
Istanbul Basaksehir clean sheet15%6.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-010.4%
1-010.3%
2-19.9%
3-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Our prediction for Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir is Besiktas to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Besiktas or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-0. We expect Besiktas to score 1.9 goals and Istanbul Basaksehir 0.9.

Will both teams score in Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Besiktas last 20 games and 9 of Istanbul Basaksehir last 20.

How are Besiktas playing?

Besiktas have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Istanbul Basaksehir playing?

Istanbul Basaksehir have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Besiktas and Istanbul Basaksehir last met?

It ended Istanbul Basaksehir 2, Besiktas 3. In the last 2 meetings Besiktas won 2 and Istanbul Basaksehir won 0.

What is the best bet for Besiktas vs Istanbul Basaksehir?

Besiktas or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Besiktas against Istanbul BB. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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