EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United Kingdom › Birmingham City vs Swansea City
ChampionshipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Birmingham City vs Swansea City prediction

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham CityHome
2.00 : 1.09
expected goals
Swansea CityAway
58%Birmingham
23%Draw
20%Swansea
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Swansea City is Birmingham City to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Birmingham City to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Birmingham City 2.0, Swansea City 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Birmingham City 58%, the draw 23% and Swansea City 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Birmingham City took 10 points from their last 5 games and Swansea City took 9 from 5. Birmingham City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Birmingham City won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Swansea City won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Birmingham City score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Swansea City score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Birmingham City games and 12 of Swansea City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Birmingham City won 2 and Swansea City won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Swansea City 0, Birmingham City 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Birminghamrecent form+3%
  • Swansearecent form+1%
Birmingham form L W W W DSwansea form L L W W WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Birmingham City vs Swansea City: Birmingham City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Birmingham City host Swansea City in the Championship on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at St. Andrew's Stadium. Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Swansea City is Birmingham City to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Birmingham City form

Birmingham City have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Swansea City form

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Birmingham City won 2, Swansea City won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Swansea City 0, Birmingham City 1.

Our call

We expect Birmingham City to score about 2.0 goals and Swansea City about 1.1. That points to Birmingham City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BirminghamSwansea
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws75
Losses45
Goals scored3129
Goals conceded2424
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.21.2
Home record5W 4D 1L4W 3D 3L
Away record4W 3D 3L6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals60%4/6
Over 3.5 goals37%13/8
Both teams to score58%8/11
Birmingham City or Draw80%1/4
Swansea City or Draw42%11/8
Birmingham City to win and Over 2.540%6/4
Swansea City to win and Over 2.513%7/1
Birmingham City clean sheet34%2/1
Swansea City clean sheet14%13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.9%
2-09.1%
1-08.5%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Birmingham City vs Swansea City?

Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Swansea City is Birmingham City to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Birmingham City vs Swansea City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Birmingham City to score 2.0 goals and Swansea City 1.1.

Will both teams score in Birmingham City vs Swansea City?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Birmingham City last 20 games and 11 of Swansea City last 20.

How are Birmingham City playing?

Birmingham City have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Swansea City playing?

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Birmingham City and Swansea City last met?

It ended Swansea City 0, Birmingham City 1. In the last 3 meetings Birmingham City won 2 and Swansea City won 0.

What is the best bet for Birmingham City vs Swansea City?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Birmingham against Swansea. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.