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Predictions › Sweden › BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF
AllsvenskanSat 24 Oct, 13:00 Sweden time

BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF prediction

Bravida Arena

BK HäckenHome
1.70 : 0.98
expected goals
Degerfors IFAway
54%BK Häcken
25%Draw
21%Degerfors
Eagle safe pickBK Häcken or Draw
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF is BK Häcken to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction
BK Häcken to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
BK Häcken 1.7, Degerfors IF 1.0
Best bet
BK Häcken or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

BK Häcken or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives BK Häcken 54%, the draw 25% and Degerfors IF 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    BK Häcken took 8 points from their last 5 games and Degerfors IF took 4 from 5. BK Häcken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    BK Häcken won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Degerfors IF won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    BK Häcken score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Degerfors IF score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of BK Häcken games and 7 of Degerfors IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, BK Häcken won 0 and Degerfors IF won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Degerfors IF 1, BK Häcken 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    BK Häcken or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Degerforsrecent form-3%
BK Häcken form D W D D LDegerfors form D L L W LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: BK Häcken are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

BK Häcken host Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan on Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 at Bravida Arena. Our prediction for BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF is BK Häcken to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.30.

BK Häcken form

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. BK Häcken won 0, Degerfors IF won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Degerfors IF 1, BK Häcken 1.

Our call

We expect BK Häcken to score about 1.7 goals and Degerfors IF about 1.0. That points to BK Häcken to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5 at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BK HäckenDegerfors
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws85
Losses411
Goals scored3617
Goals conceded2731
Scored per game1.80.8
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record4W 4D 2L3W 2D 4L
Away record4W 4D 2L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets40%10%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.00
Over 3.5 goals28%3.56
Both teams to score52%1.93
BK Häcken or Draw79%1.27
Degerfors IF or Draw47%2.15
BK Häcken to win and Over 2.533%3.07
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.512%8.54
BK Häcken clean sheet38%2.66
Degerfors IF clean sheet18%5.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-011.0%
2-09.9%
2-19.7%
0-07.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF is BK Häcken to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect BK Häcken to score 1.7 goals and Degerfors IF 1.0.

Will both teams score in BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of BK Häcken last 20 games and 9 of Degerfors IF last 20.

How are BK Häcken playing?

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Degerfors IF playing?

Degerfors IF have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when BK Häcken and Degerfors IF last met?

It ended Degerfors IF 1, BK Häcken 1. In the last 1 meeting BK Häcken won 0 and Degerfors IF won 0.

What is the best bet for BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?

BK Häcken or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in BK Häcken against Degerfors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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