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Predictions › Sweden › BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg
AllsvenskanSun 22 Nov, 13:00 Sweden time

BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg prediction

Bravida Arena

BK HäckenHome
1.86 : 1.10
expected goals
IF ElfsborgAway
54%BK Häcken
24%Draw
22%Elfsborg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg is BK Häcken to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
BK Häcken to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
BK Häcken 1.9, IF Elfsborg 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives BK Häcken 54%, the draw 24% and IF Elfsborg 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    BK Häcken took 10 points from their last 5 games and IF Elfsborg took 6 from 5. BK Häcken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    BK Häcken won 5 of their last 10 games at home. IF Elfsborg won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    BK Häcken score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.1. IF Elfsborg score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of BK Häcken games and 11 of IF Elfsborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, BK Häcken won 0 and IF Elfsborg won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended IF Elfsborg 1, BK Häcken 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • BK Häckenrecent form+3%
BK Häcken form L W D W WElfsborg form L W D D DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg: BK Häcken are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

BK Häcken host IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Bravida Arena. Our prediction for BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg is BK Häcken to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

BK Häcken form

BK Häcken have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

IF Elfsborg form

IF Elfsborg have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. BK Häcken won 0, IF Elfsborg won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished IF Elfsborg 1, BK Häcken 1.

Our call

We expect BK Häcken to score about 1.9 goals and IF Elfsborg about 1.1. That points to BK Häcken to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5 at 2.81.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BK HäckenElfsborg
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws67
Losses55
Goals scored3428
Goals conceded2222
Scored per game1.71.4
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record5W 3D 2L5W 3D 2L
Away record4W 3D 3L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets55%35%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%2.92
Both teams to score57%1.76
BK Häcken or Draw78%1.28
IF Elfsborg or Draw46%2.20
BK Häcken to win and Over 2.536%2.74
IF Elfsborg to win and Over 2.513%7.45
BK Häcken clean sheet33%3.00
IF Elfsborg clean sheet16%6.40

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
2-19.9%
1-09.0%
2-09.0%
3-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg?

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg is BK Häcken to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect BK Häcken to score 1.9 goals and IF Elfsborg 1.1.

Will both teams score in BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of BK Häcken last 20 games and 12 of IF Elfsborg last 20.

How are BK Häcken playing?

BK Häcken have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are IF Elfsborg playing?

IF Elfsborg have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when BK Häcken and IF Elfsborg last met?

It ended IF Elfsborg 1, BK Häcken 1. In the last 1 meeting BK Häcken won 0 and IF Elfsborg won 0.

What is the best bet for BK Häcken vs IF Elfsborg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in BK Häcken against Elfsborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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