Predictions › Sweden › BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg
AllsvenskanSun 1 Nov, 15:30 Sweden time

BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg prediction

Bravida Arena

BK HäckenHome
2.04 : 1.56
expected goals
IFK GöteborgAway
48%BK Häcken
22%Draw
29%Göteborg
Eagle safe pickBK Häcken or Draw
1.38

Quick answer

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg is BK Häcken to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.38.

Prediction
BK Häcken to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
BK Häcken 2.0, IFK Göteborg 1.6
Best bet
BK Häcken or Draw at 1.38
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

BK Häcken or Draw
73% chanceFair price 1.381 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives BK Häcken 48%, the draw 22% and IFK Göteborg 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    BK Häcken took 11 points from their last 5 games and IFK Göteborg took 13 from 5. IFK Göteborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    BK Häcken won 4 of their last 10 games at home. IFK Göteborg won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    BK Häcken score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.2. IFK Göteborg score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of BK Häcken games and 13 of IFK Göteborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, BK Häcken won 1 and IFK Göteborg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended IFK Göteborg 0, BK Häcken 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    BK Häcken or Draw has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • BK Häckenrecent form+3%
  • Göteborgrecent form+6%
BK Häcken form D W W D DGöteborg form D W W W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg: BK Häcken are favourites

The big picture

BK Häcken host IFK Göteborg in the Allsvenskan on Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 at Bravida Arena. Our prediction for BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg is BK Häcken to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.38.

BK Häcken form

BK Häcken have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

IFK Göteborg form

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. BK Häcken won 1, IFK Göteborg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IFK Göteborg 0, BK Häcken 2.

Our call

We expect BK Häcken to score about 2.0 goals and IFK Göteborg about 1.6. That points to BK Häcken to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.38. Our bold bet is BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5 at 2.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BK HäckenGöteborg
Games played2020
Wins910
Draws74
Losses46
Goals scored3432
Goals conceded2437
Scored per game1.71.6
Conceded per game1.21.9
Home record4W 4D 2L6W 3D 2L
Away record5W 3D 2L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.43
Over 3.5 goals49%2.06
Both teams to score69%1.44
BK Häcken or Draw71%1.41
IFK Göteborg or Draw52%1.94
BK Häcken to win and Over 2.538%2.65
IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.522%4.51
BK Häcken clean sheet21%4.78
IFK Göteborg clean sheet13%7.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.2%
2-18.9%
2-26.9%
1-26.8%
3-16.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg?

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg is BK Häcken to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.38.

What is the score prediction for BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect BK Häcken to score 2.0 goals and IFK Göteborg 1.6.

Will both teams score in BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of BK Häcken last 20 games and 12 of IFK Göteborg last 20.

How are BK Häcken playing?

BK Häcken have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

How are IFK Göteborg playing?

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when BK Häcken and IFK Göteborg last met?

It ended IFK Göteborg 0, BK Häcken 2. In the last 2 meetings BK Häcken won 1 and IFK Göteborg won 1.

What is the best bet for BK Häcken vs IFK Göteborg?

BK Häcken or Draw at 1.38, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in BK Häcken against Göteborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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