Predictions › Sweden › BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS
AllsvenskanSun 11 Oct, 14:30 Sweden time

BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS prediction

Bravida Arena

BK HäckenHome
2.21 : 0.98
expected goals
Örgryte ISAway
65%BK Häcken
20%Draw
15%Örgryte
Eagle safe pickBK Häcken or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS is BK Häcken to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
BK Häcken to win
Chance
65%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
BK Häcken 2.2, Örgryte IS 1.0
Best bet
BK Häcken or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

BK Häcken or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives BK Häcken 65%, the draw 20% and Örgryte IS 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    BK Häcken took 8 points from their last 5 games and Örgryte IS took 2 from 5. BK Häcken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    BK Häcken won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Örgryte IS won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    BK Häcken score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Örgryte IS score 1.0 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of BK Häcken games and 11 of Örgryte IS games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, BK Häcken won 0 and Örgryte IS won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Örgryte IS 4, BK Häcken 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    BK Häcken or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • BK Häckenrecent form+1%
  • Örgryterecent form-4%
BK Häcken form W D D L WÖrgryte form L L D L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS: BK Häcken are favourites

The big picture

BK Häcken host Örgryte IS in the Allsvenskan on Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 at Bravida Arena. Our prediction for BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS is BK Häcken to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.21.

BK Häcken form

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Örgryte IS form

Örgryte IS have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. BK Häcken won 0, Örgryte IS won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Örgryte IS 4, BK Häcken 3.

Our call

We expect BK Häcken to score about 2.2 goals and Örgryte IS about 1.0. That points to BK Häcken to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is BK Häcken to win and Over 2.5 at 2.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BK HäckenÖrgryte
Games played2020
Wins82
Draws85
Losses413
Goals scored3520
Goals conceded2846
Scored per game1.81.0
Conceded per game1.42.3
Home record4W 4D 2L1W 5D 4L
Away record4W 4D 2L1W 0D 9L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals40%2.53
Both teams to score56%1.78
BK Häcken or Draw85%1.18
Örgryte IS or Draw35%2.83
BK Häcken to win and Over 2.546%2.17
Örgryte IS to win and Over 2.510%10.45
BK Häcken clean sheet37%2.67
Örgryte IS clean sheet11%9.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.0%
2-19.9%
1-19.5%
1-08.5%
3-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS?

Our prediction for BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS is BK Häcken to win, with a 65% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is BK Häcken or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect BK Häcken to score 2.2 goals and Örgryte IS 1.0.

Will both teams score in BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of BK Häcken last 20 games and 11 of Örgryte IS last 20.

How are BK Häcken playing?

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Örgryte IS playing?

Örgryte IS have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when BK Häcken and Örgryte IS last met?

It ended Örgryte IS 4, BK Häcken 3. In the last 1 meeting BK Häcken won 0 and Örgryte IS won 1.

What is the best bet for BK Häcken vs Örgryte IS?

BK Häcken or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in BK Häcken against Örgryte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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