Predictions › United Kingdom › Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham

ChampionshipSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham prediction

Ewood Park

Blackburn RoversHome

1.17 : 1.04

expected goals

WrexhamAway

38%Blackburn

31%Draw

31%Wrexham

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham is Blackburn Rovers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction: Blackburn Rovers to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers 1.2, Wrexham 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1/42 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Blackburn Rovers 38%, the draw 31% and Wrexham 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Blackburn Rovers took 10 points from their last 5 games and Wrexham took 5 from 5. Blackburn Rovers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Blackburn Rovers won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Wrexham won 3 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Blackburn Rovers score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.1. Wrexham score 1.1 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Blackburn Rovers games and 11 of Wrexham games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Blackburn Rovers won 0 and Wrexham won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Blackburn Rovers 0, Wrexham 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Blackburnrecent form+1%
Blackburnrest between games-5%
Wrexhamrest between games-5%

Blackburn form D W D W LWrexham form D D W L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham: Blackburn Rovers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Blackburn Rovers host Wrexham in the Championship on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Ewood Park. Our prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham is Blackburn Rovers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Blackburn Rovers form

Blackburn Rovers have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Wrexham form

Wrexham have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Blackburn Rovers won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Blackburn Rovers 0, Wrexham 2.

Our call

We expect Blackburn Rovers to score about 1.2 goals and Wrexham about 1.0. That points to Blackburn Rovers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Blackburn	Wrexham
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	5
Draws	7	7
Losses	6	8
Goals scored	24	23
Goals conceded	23	34
Scored per game	1.2	1.1
Conceded per game	1.1	1.7
Home record	3W 3D 4L	2W 3D 3L
Away record	4W 4D 2L	3W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	20%
Both teams scored	65%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	65%	8/15
Over 2.5 goals	38%	13/8
Over 3.5 goals	18%	9/2
Both teams to score	45%	6/5
Blackburn Rovers or Draw	69%	4/9
Wrexham or Draw	62%	8/13
Blackburn Rovers to win and Over 2.5	18%	9/2
Wrexham to win and Over 2.5	15%	11/2
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet	35%	9/5
Wrexham clean sheet	31%	11/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%

1-012.1%

0-011.8%

0-110.6%

2-17.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Championship

West Ham Dominate Wrexham in Record Breaking London Stadium Match

Wrexham suffered their heaviest defeat under celebrity owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob Mac in a six to zero loss against West Ham.

11 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham?

Our prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham is Blackburn Rovers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Blackburn Rovers to score 1.2 goals and Wrexham 1.0.

Will both teams score in Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Blackburn Rovers last 20 games and 13 of Wrexham last 20.

How are Blackburn Rovers playing?

How are Wrexham playing?

What happened when Blackburn Rovers and Wrexham last met?

It ended Blackburn Rovers 0, Wrexham 2. In the last 2 meetings Blackburn Rovers won 0 and Wrexham won 1.

What is the best bet for Blackburn Rovers vs Wrexham?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackburn against Wrexham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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