Predictions › United Kingdom › Blackpool vs Mansfield Town
League OneSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town prediction

Bloomfield Road

BlackpoolHome
1.54 : 1.07
expected goals
Mansfield TownAway
47%Blackpool
27%Draw
26%Mansfield
Eagle safe pickBlackpool or Draw
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town is Blackpool to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/3.

Prediction
Blackpool to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Blackpool 1.5, Mansfield Town 1.1
Best bet
Blackpool or Draw at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blackpool or Draw
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blackpool to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 11/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Blackpool 47%, the draw 27% and Mansfield Town 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Blackpool took 1 point from their last 5 games and Mansfield Town took 5 from 5. Mansfield Town come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Blackpool won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Mansfield Town won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Blackpool score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Mansfield Town score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Blackpool games and 12 of Mansfield Town games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Blackpool won 1 and Mansfield Town won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Blackpool 1, Mansfield Town 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Blackpool or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackpoolrecent form-3%
  • Mansfieldrecent form-3%
Blackpool form L W L L DMansfield form D L D D LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: Blackpool are favourites

The big picture

Blackpool host Mansfield Town in the League One on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Bloomfield Road. Our prediction for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town is Blackpool to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/3.

Blackpool form

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Mansfield Town form

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Blackpool won 1, Mansfield Town won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Blackpool 1, Mansfield Town 0.

Our call

We expect Blackpool to score about 1.5 goals and Mansfield Town about 1.1. That points to Blackpool to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/3. Our bold bet is Blackpool to win and Over 2.5 at 11/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackpoolMansfield
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws37
Losses75
Goals scored2932
Goals conceded2528
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record6W 2D 2L5W 3D 1L
Away record4W 1D 5L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score52%10/11
Blackpool or Draw74%1/3
Mansfield Town or Draw53%10/11
Blackpool to win and Over 2.528%5/2
Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Blackpool clean sheet34%15/8
Mansfield Town clean sheet21%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-010.5%
2-19.3%
2-08.7%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Blackpool vs Mansfield Town?

Our prediction for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town is Blackpool to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Blackpool to score 1.5 goals and Mansfield Town 1.1.

Will both teams score in Blackpool vs Mansfield Town?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Blackpool last 20 games and 11 of Mansfield Town last 20.

How are Blackpool playing?

Blackpool have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Mansfield Town playing?

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Blackpool and Mansfield Town last met?

It ended Blackpool 1, Mansfield Town 0. In the last 1 meeting Blackpool won 1 and Mansfield Town won 0.

What is the best bet for Blackpool vs Mansfield Town?

Blackpool or Draw at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackpool against Mansfield. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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