Predictions › United Kingdom › Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic
League OneSat 21 Nov, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic prediction

Bloomfield Road

BlackpoolHome
1.89 : 1.03
expected goals
Wigan AthleticAway
57%Blackpool
24%Draw
20%Wigan
Eagle safe pickBlackpool or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic is Blackpool to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Blackpool to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Blackpool 1.9, Wigan Athletic 1.0
Best bet
Blackpool or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blackpool or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blackpool to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Blackpool 57%, the draw 24% and Wigan Athletic 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Blackpool took 7 points from their last 5 games and Wigan Athletic took 7 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Blackpool won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Wigan Athletic won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Blackpool score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Wigan Athletic score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Blackpool games and 9 of Wigan Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Blackpool won 1 and Wigan Athletic won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Blackpool 1, Wigan Athletic 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Blackpool or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackpoolrecent form+3%
  • Wiganrecent form+1%
Blackpool form W D W L WWigan form D W D W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic: Blackpool are favourites

The big picture

Blackpool host Wigan Athletic in the League One on Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 at Bloomfield Road. Our prediction for Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic is Blackpool to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/4.

Blackpool form

Blackpool have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Blackpool won 1, Wigan Athletic won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Blackpool 1, Wigan Athletic 1.

Our call

We expect Blackpool to score about 1.9 goals and Wigan Athletic about 1.0. That points to Blackpool to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Blackpool to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackpoolWigan
Games played2020
Wins95
Draws34
Losses811
Goals scored2918
Goals conceded2925
Scored per game1.40.9
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record4W 2D 3L4W 1D 4L
Away record5W 1D 5L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored60%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals33%2/1
Both teams to score55%4/5
Blackpool or Draw80%1/4
Wigan Athletic or Draw43%11/8
Blackpool to win and Over 2.538%13/8
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.512%15/2
Blackpool clean sheet36%9/5
Wigan Athletic clean sheet15%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%
1-09.6%
3-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic?

Our prediction for Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic is Blackpool to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Blackpool or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Blackpool to score 1.9 goals and Wigan Athletic 1.0.

Will both teams score in Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Blackpool last 20 games and 6 of Wigan Athletic last 20.

How are Blackpool playing?

Blackpool have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Blackpool and Wigan Athletic last met?

It ended Blackpool 1, Wigan Athletic 1. In the last 2 meetings Blackpool won 1 and Wigan Athletic won 0.

What is the best bet for Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic?

Blackpool or Draw at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackpool against Wigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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