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Predictions › Argentina › Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 17 Oct, 00:30 Argentina time

Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba) prediction

Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera)

Boca JuniorsHome
1.56 : 0.64
expected goals
Talleres (Córdoba)Away
59%Boca
27%Draw
15%Talleres
Eagle safe pickBoca Juniors or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba) is Boca Juniors to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Boca Juniors or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Boca Juniors to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Boca Juniors 1.6, Talleres (Córdoba) 0.6
Best bet
Boca Juniors or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Boca Juniors or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Boca Juniors to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boca Juniors 59%, the draw 27% and Talleres (Córdoba) 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boca Juniors took 13 points from their last 5 games and Talleres (Córdoba) took 4 from 5. Boca Juniors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boca Juniors won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Talleres (Córdoba) won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boca Juniors score 1.5 goals a game and let in 0.9. Talleres (Córdoba) score 1.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Boca Juniors games and 9 of Talleres (Córdoba) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Boca Juniors won 2 and Talleres (Córdoba) won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Talleres (Córdoba) 0, Boca Juniors 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Boca Juniors or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Boca recent form+6%
  • Talleres recent form-3%
Boca form W W W D WTalleres form L L W L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba): Boca Juniors are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boca Juniors host Talleres (Córdoba) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 17 Oct, 00:30 at Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera). Our prediction for Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba) is Boca Juniors to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Boca Juniors or Draw at 1.21.

Boca Juniors form

Boca Juniors have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Talleres (Córdoba) form

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Boca Juniors won 2, Talleres (Córdoba) won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Talleres (Córdoba) 0, Boca Juniors 1.

Our call

We expect Boca Juniors to score about 1.6 goals and Talleres (Córdoba) about 0.6. That points to Boca Juniors to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Boca Juniors or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Boca Juniors to win and Over 2.5 at 3.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Boca Talleres
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws65
Losses59
Goals scored3020
Goals conceded1923
Scored per game1.51.0
Conceded per game0.91.1
Home record5W 2D 2L3W 2D 5L
Away record4W 4D 3L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.53
Over 2.5 goals38%2.65
Over 3.5 goals18%5.53
Both teams to score38%2.63
Boca Juniors or Draw85%1.17
Talleres (Córdoba) or Draw41%2.43
Boca Juniors to win and Over 2.529%3.47
Talleres (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.56%17.25
Boca Juniors clean sheet53%1.90
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet21%4.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.6%
2-013.5%
1-111.7%
0-011.7%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba)?

Our prediction for Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba) is Boca Juniors to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Boca Juniors or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba)?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Boca Juniors to score 1.6 goals and Talleres (Córdoba) 0.6.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba)?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Boca Juniors last 20 games and 8 of Talleres (Córdoba) last 20.

How are Boca Juniors playing?

Boca Juniors have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Talleres (Córdoba) playing?

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Boca Juniors and Talleres (Córdoba) last met?

It ended Talleres (Córdoba) 0, Boca Juniors 1. In the last 2 meetings Boca Juniors won 2 and Talleres (Córdoba) won 0.

What is the best bet for Boca Juniors vs Talleres (Córdoba)?

Boca Juniors or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boca against Talleres . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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