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Predictions › Champions League › Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund
Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/GlimtHome
1.76 : 1.66
expected goals
Borussia DortmundAway
40%Bodo/Glimt
24%Draw
36%Dortmund
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Bodo/Glimt to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Bodo/Glimt 1.8, Borussia Dortmund 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bodo/Glimt to win
38% chancePrice 3.05+15.6% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bodo/Glimt 40%, the draw 24% and Borussia Dortmund 36%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 2.05, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bodo/Glimt took 9 points from their last 5 games and Borussia Dortmund took 15 from 5. Borussia Dortmund come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bodo/Glimt won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Borussia Dortmund won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bodo/Glimt score 2.5 goals a game and let in 0.9. Borussia Dortmund score 2.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Bodo/Glimt games and 12 of Borussia Dortmund games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Bodo/Glimt won 0 and Borussia Dortmund won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Borussia Dortmund 2, Bodo/Glimt 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bodo/Glimtrecent form+1%
  • Dortmundrecent form+7%
Bodo/Glimt form L W L W WDortmund form W W W W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: Bodo/Glimt shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bodo/Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on Wed 14 Oct, 19:00 at Aspmyra Stadion. Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Bodo/Glimt form

Bodo/Glimt have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Borussia Dortmund form

Borussia Dortmund have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bodo/Glimt won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Borussia Dortmund 2, Bodo/Glimt 2.

Our call

We expect Bodo/Glimt to score about 1.8 goals and Borussia Dortmund about 1.7. That points to Bodo/Glimt to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 3.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Bodo/GlimtDortmund
Games played2020
Wins1514
Draws21
Losses35
Goals scored5042
Goals conceded1922
Scored per game2.52.1
Conceded per game0.91.1
Home record9W 0D 1L9W 0D 2L
Away record6W 2D 2L5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets45%45%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals75%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Bodo/Glimt to win38%2.643.05+15.6%
A Draw23%4.374.00-8.4%
Borussia Dortmund to win34%2.912.05-29.5%
Over 3.5 goals44%2.251.95-13.4%
Under 3.5 goals50%1.991.80-9.5%
Bodo/Glimt +0.553%1.881.71-8.7%
Borussia Dortmund -0.541%2.421.91-21.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.50
Over 3.5 goals45%2.24
Both teams to score68%1.48
Bodo/Glimt or Draw64%1.56
Borussia Dortmund or Draw60%1.67
Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.530%3.33
Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.527%3.74
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet19%5.27
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet17%5.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-18.4%
1-27.9%
2-27.0%
1-05.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Arsenal Eye Dortmund Forward Beier As Spurs Target Gibbs White

Arsenal are tracking Borussia Dortmund forward Maximilian Beier, while Tottenham Hotspur consider a massive January move for Morgan Gibbs White.

21 Sept 2026
Champions League

Dortmund Teenager Karetsas Back In Training After Health Scare

Borussia Dortmund midfielder Konstantinos Karetsas has returned to training following a medical scare on his Champions League debut.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Bodo/Glimt to score 1.8 goals and Borussia Dortmund 1.7.

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Bodo/Glimt last 20 games and 9 of Borussia Dortmund last 20.

How are Bodo/Glimt playing?

Bodo/Glimt have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Borussia Dortmund playing?

Borussia Dortmund have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund last met?

It ended Borussia Dortmund 2, Bodo/Glimt 2. In the last 1 meeting Bodo/Glimt won 0 and Borussia Dortmund won 0.

What is the best bet for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bodo/Glimt against Dortmund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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