Predictions › Norway › Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord

EliteserienMon 14 Sept, 17:00 Norway time

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord prediction

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/GlimtHome

3.44 : 1.12

expected goals

SandefjordAway

80%Bodo/Glimt

12%Draw

8%Sandefjord

Eagle safe pickBodo/Glimt to win

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17.

Prediction: Bodo/Glimt to win
Chance: 80%
Most likely score: 3-1
Expected goals: Bodo/Glimt 3.4, Sandefjord 1.1
Best bet: Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bodo/Glimt to win

83% chancePrice 1.171 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 3-1

8% chanceFair price 12.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bodo/Glimt 80%, the draw 12% and Sandefjord 8%. The bookmakers agree and make Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 1.17.
2
Recent form
Bodo/Glimt took 12 points from their last 5 games and Sandefjord took 5 from 5. Bodo/Glimt come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bodo/Glimt won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Sandefjord won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Bodo/Glimt score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.0. Sandefjord score 0.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Bodo/Glimt games and 8 of Sandefjord games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Bodo/Glimt won 1 and Sandefjord won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sandefjord 0, Bodo/Glimt 3.
6
The safest bet
Bodo/Glimt to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bodo/Glimtrecent form+4%
Sandefjordrecent form-1%
Bodo/Glimtrest between games-2%

Bodo/Glimt form L W W W WSandefjord form D D W L LHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord: Bodo/Glimt are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bodo/Glimt host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien on Mon 14 Sept, 17:00 at Aspmyra Stadion. Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17.

Bodo/Glimt form

Bodo/Glimt have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Sandefjord form

Sandefjord have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bodo/Glimt won 1, Sandefjord won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sandefjord 0, Bodo/Glimt 3.

Our call

We expect Bodo/Glimt to score about 3.4 goals and Sandefjord about 1.1. That points to Bodo/Glimt to win, with 3-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 3-1 at 12.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bodo/Glimt	Sandefjord
Games played	20	20
Wins	15	6
Draws	2	5
Losses	3	9
Goals scored	49	18
Goals conceded	20	24
Scored per game	2.5	0.9
Conceded per game	1.0	1.2
Home record	8W 0D 1L	3W 5D 3L
Away record	7W 2D 2L	3W 0D 6L
Clean sheets	50%	30%
Both teams scored	35%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Bodo/Glimt to win	83%	1.20	1.17	-2.6%
A Draw	11%	9.38	8.50	-9.4%
Sandefjord to win	7%	14.12	11.00	-22.1%
Over 3.5 goals	60%	1.67	1.67	-0.1%
Under 3.5 goals	38%	2.66	2.10	-21.1%
Bodo/Glimt -2.5	43%	2.33	2.00	-14.2%
Sandefjord +2.5	55%	1.83	1.67	-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	94%	1.06
Over 2.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 3.5 goals	67%	1.50
Both teams to score	65%	1.53
Bodo/Glimt or Draw	92%	1.09
Sandefjord or Draw	20%	5.11
Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.5	71%	1.41
Sandefjord to win and Over 2.5	6%	15.59
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet	33%	3.06
Sandefjord clean sheet	3%	31.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-18.0%

3-07.1%

2-16.9%

4-16.8%

2-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 80% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

3-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Bodo/Glimt to score 3.4 goals and Sandefjord 1.1.

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Bodo/Glimt last 20 games and 9 of Sandefjord last 20.

How are Bodo/Glimt playing?

How are Sandefjord playing?

What happened when Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord last met?

It ended Sandefjord 0, Bodo/Glimt 3. In the last 1 meeting Bodo/Glimt won 1 and Sandefjord won 0.

What is the best bet for Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?

Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bodo/Glimt against Sandefjord. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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