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Predictions › Norway › Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga
EliteserienSat 24 Oct, 14:00 Norway time

Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga prediction

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/GlimtHome
3.64 : 0.82
expected goals
VålerengaAway
87%Bodo/Glimt
9%Draw
4%Valerenga
Eagle safe pickBodo/Glimt to win
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17.

Prediction
Bodo/Glimt to win
Chance
87%
Most likely score
3-0
Expected goals
Bodo/Glimt 3.6, Vålerenga 0.8
Best bet
Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bodo/Glimt to win
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bodo/Glimt to win and both score
44% chanceFair price 2.281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bodo/Glimt 87%, the draw 9% and Vålerenga 4%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bodo/Glimt took 9 points from their last 5 games and Vålerenga took 2 from 5. Bodo/Glimt come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bodo/Glimt won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Vålerenga won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bodo/Glimt score 2.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. Vålerenga score 1.4 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Bodo/Glimt games and 12 of Vålerenga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 1 and Vålerenga won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vålerenga 1, Bodo/Glimt 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bodo/Glimt to win has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Valerengarecent form-3%
  • Valerengarest between games-5%
Bodo/Glimt form D L W L WValerenga form D D L D LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga: Bodo/Glimt are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bodo/Glimt host Vålerenga in the Eliteserien on Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 at Aspmyra Stadion. Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17.

Bodo/Glimt form

Bodo/Glimt have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Vålerenga form

Vålerenga have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 44 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bodo/Glimt won 1, Vålerenga won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vålerenga 1, Bodo/Glimt 2.

Our call

We expect Bodo/Glimt to score about 3.6 goals and Vålerenga about 0.8. That points to Bodo/Glimt to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17. Our bold bet is Bodo/Glimt to win and both score at 2.28.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Bodo/GlimtValerenga
Games played2020
Wins163
Draws16
Losses311
Goals scored5229
Goals conceded1944
Scored per game2.61.4
Conceded per game0.92.2
Home record10W 0D 1L2W 3D 5L
Away record6W 1D 2L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets45%5%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%1.07
Over 2.5 goals82%1.22
Over 3.5 goals65%1.54
Both teams to score55%1.83
Bodo/Glimt or Draw96%1.04
Vålerenga or Draw13%7.72
Bodo/Glimt to win and Over 2.575%1.33
Vålerenga to win and Over 2.53%31.60
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet44%2.28
Vålerenga clean sheet3%38.04

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-09.3%
4-08.5%
2-07.7%
3-17.6%
4-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga?

Our prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga is Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 4-0 and 2-0. We expect Bodo/Glimt to score 3.6 goals and Vålerenga 0.8.

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Bodo/Glimt last 20 games and 12 of Vålerenga last 20.

How are Bodo/Glimt playing?

Bodo/Glimt have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 52 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 10 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Vålerenga playing?

Vålerenga have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 44 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Bodo/Glimt and Vålerenga last met?

It ended Vålerenga 1, Bodo/Glimt 2. In the last 2 meetings Bodo/Glimt won 1 and Vålerenga won 1.

What is the best bet for Bodo/Glimt vs Vålerenga?

Bodo/Glimt to win at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bodo/Glimt against Valerenga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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