Predictions › Italy › Bologna vs Udinese

Serie ASun 22 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Bologna vs Udinese prediction

Renato Dall'Ara

BolognaHome

1.59 : 1.09

expected goals

UdineseAway

48%Bologna

26%Draw

25%Udinese

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bologna vs Udinese is Bologna to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Bologna to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Bologna 1.6, Udinese 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bologna to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bologna 48%, the draw 26% and Udinese 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Bologna the favourite at 1.67.
2
Recent form
Bologna took 12 points from their last 5 games and Udinese took 1 from 5. Bologna come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bologna won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Udinese won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Bologna score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Udinese score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Bologna games and 9 of Udinese games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Bologna won 2 and Udinese won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bologna 1, Udinese 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bolognarecent form+4%
Udineserecent form-6%

Bologna form W W W W LUdinese form L L D L LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bologna vs Udinese: Bologna are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bologna host Udinese in the Serie A on Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 at Renato Dall'Ara. Our prediction for Bologna vs Udinese is Bologna to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Bologna form

Bologna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Udinese form

Udinese have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bologna won 2, Udinese won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bologna 1, Udinese 0.

Our call

We expect Bologna to score about 1.6 goals and Udinese about 1.1. That points to Bologna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Bologna to win and Over 2.5 at 3.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bologna	Udinese
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	5
Draws	4	4
Losses	8	11
Goals scored	26	24
Goals conceded	30	31
Scored per game	1.3	1.2
Conceded per game	1.5	1.6
Home record	2W 4D 4L	1W 2D 7L
Away record	6W 0D 4L	4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Bologna to win	45%	2.21	1.67	-24.5%
A Draw	26%	3.87	3.55	-8.2%
Udinese to win	25%	4.05	4.40	+8.6%
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.14	1.83	-14.5%
Under 2.5 goals	47%	2.15	1.83	-14.6%
Bologna -0.5	49%	2.03	1.63	-19.9%
Udinese +0.5	44%	2.28	2.05	-9.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.33
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.00
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.56
Both teams to score	53%	1.87
Bologna or Draw	75%	1.34
Udinese or Draw	52%	1.93
Bologna to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.40
Udinese to win and Over 2.5	14%	6.92
Bologna clean sheet	34%	2.97
Udinese clean sheet	20%	4.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%

1-010.2%

2-19.4%

2-08.7%

0-07.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Serie A

Udinese Secure Signing of Champion Defender David Alaba

Former Real Madrid and Bayern Munich defender David Alaba has officially signed with Serie A side Udinese as a free agent.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Bologna vs Udinese?

Our prediction for Bologna vs Udinese is Bologna to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Bologna vs Udinese?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Bologna to score 1.6 goals and Udinese 1.1.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Udinese?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Bologna last 20 games and 8 of Udinese last 20.

How are Bologna playing?

How are Udinese playing?

What happened when Bologna and Udinese last met?

It ended Bologna 1, Udinese 0. In the last 2 meetings Bologna won 2 and Udinese won 0.

What is the best bet for Bologna vs Udinese?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bologna against Udinese. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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