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Predictions › United Kingdom › Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City prediction

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Bolton WanderersHome
1.39 : 1.30
expected goals
Bristol CityAway
38%Bolton
27%Draw
34%Bristol City
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City is Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Bolton Wanderers to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Bolton Wanderers 1.4, Bristol City 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bolton Wanderers 38%, the draw 27% and Bristol City 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bolton Wanderers took 10 points from their last 5 games and Bristol City took 4 from 5. Bolton Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bolton Wanderers won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Bristol City won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bolton Wanderers score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Bristol City score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Bolton Wanderers games and 9 of Bristol City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Boltonrecent form+3%
  • Bristol Cityrecent form-1%
Bolton form D W L W WBristol City form D L D W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City: Bolton Wanderers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bolton Wanderers host Bristol City in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Our prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City is Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Bolton Wanderers form

Bolton Wanderers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Bristol City form

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Bolton Wanderers to score about 1.4 goals and Bristol City about 1.3. That points to Bolton Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BoltonBristol City
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws44
Losses89
Goals scored3222
Goals conceded3026
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.51.3
Home record5W 1D 4L4W 0D 7L
Away record3W 3D 4L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1/3
Over 2.5 goals50%Evens
Over 3.5 goals28%5/2
Both teams to score55%4/5
Bolton Wanderers or Draw66%8/15
Bristol City or Draw62%8/13
Bolton Wanderers to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Bristol City to win and Over 2.521%4/1
Bolton Wanderers clean sheet27%11/4
Bristol City clean sheet25%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-08.7%
2-18.5%
0-18.1%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?

Our prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City is Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Bolton Wanderers to score 1.4 goals and Bristol City 1.3.

Will both teams score in Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Bolton Wanderers last 20 games and 10 of Bristol City last 20.

How are Bolton Wanderers playing?

Bolton Wanderers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Bristol City playing?

Bristol City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bolton against Bristol City. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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