Predictions › United Kingdom › Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic prediction

Meadow Park

Boreham WoodHome
2.03 : 1.24
expected goals
Wigan AthleticAway
55%Boreham Wood
23%Draw
22%Wigan
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic is Boreham Wood to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Boreham Wood to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Boreham Wood 2.0, Wigan Athletic 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Boreham Wood to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boreham Wood 55%, the draw 23% and Wigan Athletic 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boreham Wood took 6 points from their last 3 games and Wigan Athletic took 3 from 5. Boreham Wood come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boreham Wood won 2 of their last 3 games at home. Wigan Athletic won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boreham Wood score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Wigan Athletic score 0.8 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Boreham Wood games and 9 of Wigan Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Boreham Woodrecent form+7%
  • Wiganrecent form-4%
  • Boreham Woodrest between games-3%
  • Wiganrest between games-5%
Boreham Wood form W W W W WWigan form L L L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic: Boreham Wood are favourites

The big picture

Boreham Wood host Wigan Athletic in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Meadow Park. Our prediction for Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic is Boreham Wood to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Boreham Wood form

Boreham Wood have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 3 games, with 6 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 3 results read L, W, W, newest first.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Boreham Wood to score about 2.0 goals and Wigan Athletic about 1.2. That points to Boreham Wood to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Boreham Wood to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Boreham WoodWigan
Games played320
Wins25
Draws04
Losses111
Goals scored617
Goals conceded525
Scored per game2.00.8
Conceded per game1.71.3
Home record2W 0D 1L4W 1D 4L
Away recordn/a1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets67%25%
Both teams scored0%35%
Over 2.5 goals100%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%7/5
Both teams to score62%8/13
Boreham Wood or Draw78%2/7
Wigan Athletic or Draw45%6/5
Boreham Wood to win and Over 2.540%6/4
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.515%11/2
Boreham Wood clean sheet29%5/2
Wigan Athletic clean sheet13%13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
2-19.7%
2-07.8%
1-07.1%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic?

Our prediction for Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic is Boreham Wood to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Boreham Wood to score 2.0 goals and Wigan Athletic 1.2.

Will both teams score in Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 0 of Boreham Wood last 3 games and 7 of Wigan Athletic last 20.

How are Boreham Wood playing?

Boreham Wood have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 3 games, with 6 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 3 results read L, W, W, newest first.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Boreham Wood vs Wigan Athletic?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boreham Wood against Wigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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