Predictions › Germany › Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

Signal Iduna Park

Borussia DortmundHome
2.54 : 1.21
expected goals
Eintracht FrankfurtAway
66%Dortmund
18%Draw
16%Frankfurt
Eagle safe pickBorussia Dortmund or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Borussia Dortmund to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Borussia Dortmund 2.5, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.2
Best bet
Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Borussia Dortmund to win and both score
38% chanceFair price 2.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Borussia Dortmund 66%, the draw 18% and Eintracht Frankfurt 16%. The bookmakers agree and make Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 1.43.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Borussia Dortmund took 13 points from their last 5 games and Eintracht Frankfurt took 5 from 5. Borussia Dortmund come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Borussia Dortmund won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Borussia Dortmund score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.2. Eintracht Frankfurt score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Borussia Dortmund games and 15 of Eintracht Frankfurt games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Borussia Dortmund 3, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Borussia Dortmund or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dortmundrecent form+6%
Dortmund form D W W W WFrankfurt form D D W L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Borussia Dortmund are favourites

The big picture

Borussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 at Signal Iduna Park. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.21.

Borussia Dortmund form

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Eintracht Frankfurt form

Eintracht Frankfurt have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Borussia Dortmund won 1, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Borussia Dortmund 3, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.

Our call

We expect Borussia Dortmund to score about 2.5 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt about 1.2. That points to Borussia Dortmund to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Borussia Dortmund to win and both score at 2.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DortmundFrankfurt
Games played2020
Wins135
Draws27
Losses58
Goals scored4031
Goals conceded2439
Scored per game2.01.6
Conceded per game1.21.9
Home record8W 1D 2L3W 3D 4L
Away record5W 1D 3L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets40%20%
Both teams scored50%75%
Over 2.5 goals60%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Borussia Dortmund to win65%1.541.43-7.5%
A Draw18%5.684.70-17.2%
Eintracht Frankfurt to win15%6.475.25-18.8%
Over 3.5 goals49%2.041.80-11.8%
Under 3.5 goals47%2.141.91-10.6%
Borussia Dortmund -1.544%2.262.00-11.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt +1.552%1.941.65-15.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.38
Over 3.5 goals52%1.94
Both teams to score65%1.54
Borussia Dortmund or Draw84%1.19
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw34%2.93
Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.553%1.90
Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.512%8.54
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet30%3.34
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet8%12.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.2%
3-17.8%
1-17.7%
2-07.6%
3-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect Borussia Dortmund to score 2.5 goals and Eintracht Frankfurt 1.2.

Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Borussia Dortmund last 20 games and 15 of Eintracht Frankfurt last 20.

How are Borussia Dortmund playing?

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Eintracht Frankfurt playing?

Eintracht Frankfurt have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt last met?

It ended Borussia Dortmund 3, Eintracht Frankfurt 2. In the last 2 meetings Borussia Dortmund won 1 and Eintracht Frankfurt won 0.

What is the best bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Borussia Dortmund or Draw at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dortmund against Frankfurt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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