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Predictions › Germany › Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction

Signal Iduna Park

Borussia DortmundHome
2.69 : 1.09
expected goals
SV ElversbergAway
71%Dortmund
17%Draw
13%Elversberg
Eagle safe pickBorussia Dortmund draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Borussia Dortmund draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
Borussia Dortmund to win
Chance
71%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Borussia Dortmund 2.7, SV Elversberg 1.1
Best bet
Borussia Dortmund draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Borussia Dortmund draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Borussia Dortmund to win and both score
40% chanceFair price 2.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Borussia Dortmund 71%, the draw 17% and SV Elversberg 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 1.27.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Borussia Dortmund took 8 points from their last 5 games and SV Elversberg took 4 from 5. Borussia Dortmund come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Borussia Dortmund won 8 of their last 10 games at home. SV Elversberg won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. SV Elversberg score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Borussia Dortmund games and 14 of SV Elversberg games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Borussia Dortmund draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dortmundrecent form+1%
  • Elversbergrecent form-1%
Dortmund form D W W D LElversberg form D L W L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg: Borussia Dortmund are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Borussia Dortmund host SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 at Signal Iduna Park. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Borussia Dortmund draw no bet at 1.18.

Borussia Dortmund form

Borussia Dortmund have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

SV Elversberg form

SV Elversberg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Borussia Dortmund to score about 2.7 goals and SV Elversberg about 1.1. That points to Borussia Dortmund to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Borussia Dortmund draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Borussia Dortmund to win and both score at 2.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DortmundElversberg
Games played2020
Wins1410
Draws24
Losses46
Goals scored3639
Goals conceded1731
Scored per game1.81.9
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record8W 1D 1L8W 0D 2L
Away record6W 1D 3L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Borussia Dortmund to win72%1.391.27-8.4%
A Draw17%5.925.50-7.2%
SV Elversberg to win13%7.997.00-12.4%
Over 3.5 goals49%2.051.77-13.7%
Under 3.5 goals45%2.201.95-11.3%
Borussia Dortmund -1.549%2.041.69-17.3%
SV Elversberg +1.545%2.211.95-11.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.12
Over 2.5 goals73%1.37
Over 3.5 goals52%1.91
Both teams to score62%1.60
Borussia Dortmund or Draw87%1.14
SV Elversberg or Draw29%3.43
Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.557%1.76
SV Elversberg to win and Over 2.59%10.94
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet34%2.98
SV Elversberg clean sheet7%14.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.0%
2-08.2%
3-18.1%
3-07.4%
1-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

New FIFA International Break Format Sparks Anger Across Europe

European football federations are furious with the new four-game international break, calling the extended schedule a disaster for players and fans.

9 Oct 2026
Premier League

Arsenal Eye Dortmund Forward Beier As Spurs Target Gibbs White

Arsenal are tracking Borussia Dortmund forward Maximilian Beier, while Tottenham Hotspur consider a massive January move for Morgan Gibbs White.

21 Sept 2026
Champions League

Dortmund Teenager Karetsas Back In Training After Health Scare

Borussia Dortmund midfielder Konstantinos Karetsas has returned to training following a medical scare on his Champions League debut.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Borussia Dortmund draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect Borussia Dortmund to score 2.7 goals and SV Elversberg 1.1.

Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Borussia Dortmund last 20 games and 13 of SV Elversberg last 20.

How are Borussia Dortmund playing?

Borussia Dortmund have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are SV Elversberg playing?

SV Elversberg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?

Borussia Dortmund draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dortmund against Elversberg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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