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Predictions › Germany › Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
BundesligaSat 21 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia MönchengladbachHome
1.14 : 1.94
expected goals
Borussia DortmundAway
21%Gladbach
23%Draw
55%Dortmund
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Borussia Dortmund to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.1, Borussia Dortmund 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 21%, the draw 23% and Borussia Dortmund 55%. The bookmakers agree and make Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 1.57.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Borussia Mönchengladbach took 4 points from their last 5 games and Borussia Dortmund took 13 from 5. Borussia Dortmund come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Borussia Mönchengladbach won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Borussia Dortmund won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Borussia Mönchengladbach score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Borussia Mönchengladbach games and 11 of Borussia Dortmund games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 and Borussia Dortmund won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 1, Borussia Dortmund 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dortmundrecent form+6%
Gladbach form L D W W LDortmund form W W D W WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund: Borussia Dortmund are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Borussia Mönchengladbach host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 at BORUSSIA-PARK. Our prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Borussia Mönchengladbach form

Borussia Mönchengladbach have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Borussia Dortmund form

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 1, Borussia Dortmund 0.

Our call

We expect Borussia Mönchengladbach to score about 1.1 goals and Borussia Dortmund about 1.9. That points to Borussia Dortmund to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.5 at 2.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GladbachDortmund
Games played2020
Wins513
Draws53
Losses104
Goals scored2835
Goals conceded3918
Scored per game1.41.8
Conceded per game1.90.9
Home record4W 3D 3L8W 1D 1L
Away record1W 2D 7L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets30%40%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win21%4.824.50-6.7%
A Draw23%4.434.10-7.5%
Borussia Dortmund to win50%1.981.57-20.7%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.472.10-15.0%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.901.65-13.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.541%2.452.20-10.3%
Borussia Dortmund -0.552%1.911.54-19.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%2.71
Both teams to score59%1.70
Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw45%2.24
Borussia Dortmund or Draw79%1.27
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win and Over 2.514%7.24
Borussia Dortmund to win and Over 2.538%2.61
Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet14%6.93
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet32%3.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-29.9%
0-28.7%
0-18.3%
1-36.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund is Borussia Dortmund to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Borussia Mönchengladbach to score 1.1 goals and Borussia Dortmund 1.9.

Will both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Borussia Mönchengladbach last 20 games and 9 of Borussia Dortmund last 20.

How are Borussia Mönchengladbach playing?

Borussia Mönchengladbach have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Borussia Dortmund playing?

Borussia Dortmund have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Borussia Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund last met?

It ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 1, Borussia Dortmund 0. In the last 2 meetings Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 and Borussia Dortmund won 1.

What is the best bet for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gladbach against Dortmund. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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