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Predictions › Germany › Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim
BundesligaSun 18 Oct, 15:30 Germany time

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction

BORUSSIA-PARK

Borussia MönchengladbachHome
2.13 : 1.84
expected goals
TSG HoffenheimAway
45%Gladbach
22%Draw
34%Hoffenheim
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim is Borussia Mönchengladbach to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.1, TSG Hoffenheim 1.8
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
75%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Borussia Mönchengladbach to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 45%, the draw 22% and TSG Hoffenheim 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Borussia Mönchengladbach took 3 points from their last 5 games and TSG Hoffenheim took 3 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Borussia Mönchengladbach won 4 of their last 10 games at home. TSG Hoffenheim won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Borussia Mönchengladbach score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.0. TSG Hoffenheim score 1.6 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Borussia Mönchengladbach games and 16 of TSG Hoffenheim games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 and TSG Hoffenheim won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 4, TSG Hoffenheim 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gladbachrecent form-4%
  • Hoffenheimrecent form-4%
Gladbach form L L L L WHoffenheim form L L W L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim: Borussia Mönchengladbach shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Borussia Mönchengladbach host TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 at BORUSSIA-PARK. Our prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim is Borussia Mönchengladbach to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Borussia Mönchengladbach form

Borussia Mönchengladbach have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

TSG Hoffenheim form

TSG Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, TSG Hoffenheim won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 4, TSG Hoffenheim 0.

Our call

We expect Borussia Mönchengladbach to score about 2.1 goals and TSG Hoffenheim about 1.8. That points to Borussia Mönchengladbach to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Borussia Mönchengladbach to win and Over 2.5 at 2.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GladbachHoffenheim
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws64
Losses109
Goals scored2532
Goals conceded4042
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game2.02.1
Home record4W 3D 3L5W 2D 3L
Away record0W 3D 7L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets25%10%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%1.10
Over 2.5 goals76%1.32
Over 3.5 goals56%1.79
Both teams to score75%1.34
Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw66%1.51
TSG Hoffenheim or Draw55%1.82
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win and Over 2.537%2.70
TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.527%3.66
Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet16%6.27
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet12%8.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-17.9%
1-17.9%
2-27.2%
1-26.8%
3-15.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Our prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim is Borussia Mönchengladbach to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect Borussia Mönchengladbach to score 2.1 goals and TSG Hoffenheim 1.8.

Will both teams score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Both teams to score has a 75% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Borussia Mönchengladbach last 20 games and 14 of TSG Hoffenheim last 20.

How are Borussia Mönchengladbach playing?

Borussia Mönchengladbach have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are TSG Hoffenheim playing?

TSG Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Borussia Mönchengladbach and TSG Hoffenheim last met?

It ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 4, TSG Hoffenheim 0. In the last 2 meetings Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 and TSG Hoffenheim won 1.

What is the best bet for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gladbach against Hoffenheim. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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