Predictions › United States › Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks
NHLFri 16 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

Honda Center

Boston BruinsAway
3.2 : 3.6
projected goals
Anaheim DucksHome
46%Bruins
54%Ducks
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-391

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Anaheim Ducks 3.6. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -391.

Prediction
Anaheim Ducks to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Boston Bruins 3, Anaheim Ducks 4
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -391

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
80% chanceFair price -3912 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bruins to win
40% chanceFair price +1511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Anaheim Ducks 54% and Boston Bruins 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Anaheim Ducks won 2 of their last 5 and Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Anaheim Ducks won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Anaheim Ducks score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.7. Boston Bruins score 2.3 and let in 2.7. Their recent games average 6.8 and 5.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Anaheim Ducks won 2 and Boston Bruins won 0. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 4, Boston Bruins 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ducksrest between games-2%
  • Bruinsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks shade it

The big picture

Anaheim Ducks host Boston Bruins in the NHL on Fri 16 Oct, 22:00 at Honda Center. Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Anaheim Ducks 3.6. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -391.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Anaheim Ducks won 2, Boston Bruins won 0. Last time out it finished Anaheim Ducks 4, Boston Bruins 3.

Our call

We expect Boston Bruins to score about 3.2 goals and Anaheim Ducks about 3.6. That points to Anaheim Ducks to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -391. Our bold bet is Bruins to win at +151.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DucksBruins
Games played2020
Wins108
Losses1012
Goals scored6146
Goals conceded7454
Scored per game3.02.3
Conceded per game3.72.7
Home record6W 3L4W 5L
Away record4W 7L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ducks spreadCoversFair
Ducks -1.532%+212
Ducks -0.548%+108
Ducks +0.564%-180
Total goalsOverUnder
5.572%28%
6.556%44%
7.539%61%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ducks +3.5 wins if Ducks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks?

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Anaheim Ducks 3.6. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -391.

What is the projected score for Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks?

We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Anaheim Ducks 3.6, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Anaheim Ducks and Boston Bruins last met?

It ended Anaheim Ducks 4, Boston Bruins 3. In the last 2 meetings Anaheim Ducks won 2 and Boston Bruins won 0.

What is the best bet for Boston Bruins vs Anaheim Ducks?

Over 5 goals at -391, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ducks against Bruins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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