Predictions › United States › Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild
NHLSat 3 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Grand Casino Arena

Boston BruinsAway
2.9 : 3.5
projected goals
Minnesota WildHome
41%Bruins
59%Wild
Eagle safe pickBruins +1.5
-175

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 59% chance. We project Boston Bruins 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 3.5. Our best bet is Bruins +1.5 at -175.

Prediction
Minnesota Wild to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Boston Bruins 3, Minnesota Wild 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Bruins +1.5 at -175

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bruins +1.5
64% chancePrice -175+0.0% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Wild 59% and Boston Bruins 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Minnesota Wild the favourite at -175.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Wild won 1 of their last 5 and Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5. Boston Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Wild won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Wild score 3.2 goals a game and let in 3.3. Boston Bruins score 2.7 and let in 2.7. Their recent games average 6.5 and 5.4 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Minnesota Wild won 1 and Boston Bruins won 1. The last one ended Boston Bruins 6, Minnesota Wild 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bruins +1.5 has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wildrest between games-2%
  • Bruinsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild: Minnesota Wild are favourites

The big picture

Minnesota Wild host Boston Bruins in the NHL on Sat 3 Oct, 20:00 at Grand Casino Arena. Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 59% chance. We project Boston Bruins 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 3.5. Our best bet is Bruins +1.5 at -175.

Minnesota Wild form

Minnesota Wild have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Minnesota Wild won 1, Boston Bruins won 1. Last time out it finished Boston Bruins 6, Minnesota Wild 3.

Our call

We expect Boston Bruins to score about 2.9 goals and Minnesota Wild about 3.5. That points to Minnesota Wild to win. Our safest bet is Bruins +1.5 at -175.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WildBruins
Games played2020
Wins89
Losses1211
Goals scored6454
Goals conceded6654
Scored per game3.22.7
Conceded per game3.32.7
Home record6W 3L5W 4L
Away record2W 9L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Wild to win59%-143-175-7.4%
Bruins to win36%+177+145-11.7%
Wild -1.533%+199+145-18.0%
Bruins +1.564%-175-175+0.0%
Over 6.5 goals44%+127+124-1.4%
Under 6.5 goals50%+101-148-16.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Wild spreadCoversFair
Wild -1.536%+180
Wild -0.552%-108
Wild +0.568%-212
Total goalsOverUnder
5.564%36%
6.547%53%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wild +3.5 wins if Wild win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild?

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild is Minnesota Wild to win, with a 59% chance. We project Boston Bruins 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 3.5. Our best bet is Bruins +1.5 at -175.

What is the projected score for Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild?

We project Boston Bruins 2.9 and Minnesota Wild 3.5, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Minnesota Wild playing?

Minnesota Wild have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Wild and Boston Bruins last met?

It ended Boston Bruins 6, Minnesota Wild 3. In the last 2 meetings Minnesota Wild won 1 and Boston Bruins won 1.

What is the best bet for Boston Bruins vs Minnesota Wild?

Bruins +1.5 at -175, with a 64% chance. That price pays about 0.0% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wild against Bruins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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