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Predictions › United States › Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLThu 5 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

PPG Paints Arena

Boston BruinsAway
3.2 : 3.5
projected goals
Pittsburgh PenguinsHome
49%Bruins
51%Penguins
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-426

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -426.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Boston Bruins 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -426

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
81% chanceFair price -4262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bruins to win
43% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 51% and Boston Bruins 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5 and Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 5. Boston Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Boston Bruins won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.1. Boston Bruins score 3.1 and let in 2.4. Their recent games average 6.2 and 5.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Boston Bruins won 2. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Boston Bruins 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-2%
  • Bruinsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pittsburgh Penguins host Boston Bruins in the NHL on Thu 5 Nov, 19:00 at PPG Paints Arena. Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -426.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 63 goals scored and 48 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Boston Bruins won 2. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Boston Bruins 4.

Our call

We expect Boston Bruins to score about 3.2 goals and Pittsburgh Penguins about 3.5. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -426. Our bold bet is Bruins to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PenguinsBruins
Games played2020
Wins912
Losses118
Goals scored6063
Goals conceded6348
Scored per game3.03.1
Conceded per game3.12.4
Home record6W 2L7W 4L
Away record3W 9L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penguins spreadCoversFair
Penguins -1.530%+229
Penguins -0.546%+117
Penguins +0.563%-167
Total goalsOverUnder
5.570%30%
6.554%46%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Ben Kindel Returns to Pittsburgh Following Mid Flight Medical Emergency

Pittsburgh Penguins forward Ben Kindel is recovering in Pittsburgh after collapsing during a team flight back from Utah on Tuesday.

22 Oct 2026
NHL

Ben Kindel Hospitalized After Emergency on Penguins Flight

Pittsburgh forward Ben Kindel is stable in a Utah hospital after a medical emergency caused the team plane to return to Salt Lake City.

20 Oct 2026
NHL

Penguins forward Kuzmenko steps away after father killed in Russia

Pittsburgh Penguins forward Andrei Kuzmenko has taken a leave of absence after his father, Alexander, was tragically killed by a bear in Russia.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.5. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -426.

What is the projected score for Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.5, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 63 goals scored and 48 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Penguins and Boston Bruins last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Boston Bruins 4. In the last 3 meetings Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Boston Bruins won 2.

What is the best bet for Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Over 5 goals at -426, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penguins against Bruins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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