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Predictions › United States › Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals
NHLFri 25 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

Boston BruinsAway
2.7 : 3.5
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
33%Bruins
67%Capitals
Eagle safe pickCapitals +1
-495

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 67% chance. We project Boston Bruins 2.7 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Capitals +1 at -495.

Prediction
Washington Capitals to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Boston Bruins 3, Washington Capitals 4
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Capitals +1 at -495

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Capitals +1
83% chanceFair price -4952 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bruins to win
31% chanceFair price +2211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 67% and Boston Bruins 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5 and Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Boston Bruins won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.9. Boston Bruins score 3.0 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.2 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Washington Capitals won 1 and Boston Bruins won 4. The last one ended Washington Capitals 2, Boston Bruins 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Capitals +1 has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Capitalsrest between games-3%
  • Bruinsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals: Washington Capitals are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Boston Bruins in the NHL on Fri 25 Sept, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 67% chance. We project Boston Bruins 2.7 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Capitals +1 at -495.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 1, Boston Bruins won 4. Last time out it finished Washington Capitals 2, Boston Bruins 3.

Our call

We expect Boston Bruins to score about 2.7 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.5. That points to Washington Capitals to win. Our safest bet is Capitals +1 at -495. Our bold bet is Bruins to win at +221.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsBruins
Games played2020
Wins1210
Losses810
Goals scored6660
Goals conceded5856
Scored per game3.33.0
Conceded per game2.92.8
Home record6W 3L4W 5L
Away record6W 5L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -1.540%+153
Capitals -0.556%-127
Capitals +0.572%-251
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.546%54%
7.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals is Washington Capitals to win, with a 67% chance. We project Boston Bruins 2.7 and Washington Capitals 3.5. Our best bet is Capitals +1 at -495.

What is the projected score for Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals?

We project Boston Bruins 2.7 and Washington Capitals 3.5, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Boston Bruins last met?

It ended Washington Capitals 2, Boston Bruins 3. In the last 5 meetings Washington Capitals won 1 and Boston Bruins won 4.

What is the best bet for Boston Bruins vs Washington Capitals?

Capitals +1 at -495, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Bruins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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