Predictions › United States › Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets
NHLFri 2 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets prediction

Canada Life Centre

Boston BruinsAway
2.8 : 2.8
projected goals
Winnipeg JetsHome
54%Bruins
46%Jets
Eagle value pickJets +1.5
-245

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets is Boston Bruins to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 2.8 and Winnipeg Jets 2.8. Our best bet is Jets +1.5 at -245.

Prediction
Boston Bruins to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Boston Bruins 3, Winnipeg Jets 3
Projected total
5.7 goals
Best bet
Jets +1.5 at -245

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Jets +1.5
74% chancePrice -245+4.9% value2 units
★

Eagle value pick

Jets +1.5
74% chancePrice -245+4.9% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Winnipeg Jets 46% and Boston Bruins 54%. The bookmakers agree and make Boston Bruins the favourite at -115.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Winnipeg Jets won 1 of their last 5 and Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5. Boston Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Winnipeg Jets won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Winnipeg Jets score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.5. Boston Bruins score 2.7 and let in 2.7. Their recent games average 6.1 and 5.4 goals in total, and the market line is 5.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Winnipeg Jets won 0 and Boston Bruins won 2. The last one ended Boston Bruins 6, Winnipeg Jets 1.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Jets +1.5 is priced at -245. Our fair price is -292, so the bookmaker pays about 4.9% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jetsrest between games-2%
  • Bruinsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets: Boston Bruins shade it

The big picture

Winnipeg Jets host Boston Bruins in the NHL on Fri 2 Oct, 20:00 at Canada Life Centre. Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets is Boston Bruins to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 2.8 and Winnipeg Jets 2.8. Our best bet is Jets +1.5 at -245.

Winnipeg Jets form

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Winnipeg Jets won 0, Boston Bruins won 2. Last time out it finished Boston Bruins 6, Winnipeg Jets 1.

Our call

We expect Boston Bruins to score about 2.8 goals and Winnipeg Jets about 2.8. That points to Boston Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Jets +1.5 at -245. Our value bet is Jets +1.5 at -245.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JetsBruins
Games played2020
Wins89
Losses1211
Goals scored5154
Goals conceded7154
Scored per game2.52.7
Conceded per game3.52.7
Home record3W 5L5W 4L
Away record5W 7L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Jets to win46%+117-105-10.1%
Bruins to win48%+110-115-10.8%
Jets +1.574%-292-245+4.9%
Bruins -1.526%+288+200-22.7%
Over 5.5 goals49%+103-125-11.2%
Under 5.5 goals44%+125+105-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Jets spreadCoversFair
Jets -0.542%+140
Jets +0.558%-139
Jets +1.573%-274
Total goalsOverUnder
4.569%31%
5.552%48%
6.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets?

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets is Boston Bruins to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 2.8 and Winnipeg Jets 2.8. Our best bet is Jets +1.5 at -245.

What is the projected score for Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets?

We project Boston Bruins 2.8 and Winnipeg Jets 2.8, about 5.7 goals in total.

How are Winnipeg Jets playing?

Winnipeg Jets have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 71 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 54 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Winnipeg Jets and Boston Bruins last met?

It ended Boston Bruins 6, Winnipeg Jets 1. In the last 2 meetings Winnipeg Jets won 0 and Boston Bruins won 2.

What is the best bet for Boston Bruins vs Winnipeg Jets?

Jets +1.5 at -245, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 4.9% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jets against Bruins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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