Predictions › United States › Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers
NBAThu 8 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Boston CelticsAway
114.6 : 109.4
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
68%Celtics
32%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickCavaliers +13.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Boston Celtics to win, with a 68% chance. We project Boston Celtics 114.6 and Cleveland Cavaliers 109.4. Our best bet is Cavaliers +13.5 at -303.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Boston Celtics 115, Cleveland Cavaliers 109
Projected total
224.1 points
Best bet
Cavaliers +13.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cavaliers +13.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cavaliers to win
32% chanceFair price +2151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 32% and Boston Celtics 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5 and Boston Celtics won 2 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Boston Celtics won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 108.8 points a game and let in 112.0. Boston Celtics score 113.5 and let in 106.7. Their recent games average 220.7 and 220.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 0 and Boston Celtics won 4. The last one ended Cleveland Cavaliers 98, Boston Celtics 109.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cavaliers +13.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cavaliersrest between games-3%
  • Celticsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Boston Celtics are favourites

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Thu 8 Oct, 19:00 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Boston Celtics to win, with a 68% chance. We project Boston Celtics 114.6 and Cleveland Cavaliers 109.4. Our best bet is Cavaliers +13.5 at -303.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2239 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2270 points scored and 2133 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 0, Boston Celtics won 4. Last time out it finished Cleveland Cavaliers 98, Boston Celtics 109.

Our call

We expect Boston Celtics to score about 114.6 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 109.4. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Cavaliers +13.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Cavaliers to win at +215.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CavaliersCeltics
Games played2020
Wins913
Losses117
Points scored21752270
Points conceded22392133
Scored per game108.8113.5
Conceded per game112.0106.7
Home record7W 3L7W 4L
Away record2W 8L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -0.532%+209
Cavaliers +2.541%+141
Cavaliers +5.551%-104
Cavaliers +8.560%-153
Cavaliers +11.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
218.562%38%
221.556%44%
224.549%51%
227.542%58%
230.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Boston Celtics to win, with a 68% chance. We project Boston Celtics 114.6 and Cleveland Cavaliers 109.4. Our best bet is Cavaliers +13.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Boston Celtics 114.6 and Cleveland Cavaliers 109.4, about 224.1 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2239 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2270 points scored and 2133 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics last met?

It ended Cleveland Cavaliers 98, Boston Celtics 109. In the last 4 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 0 and Boston Celtics won 4.

What is the best bet for Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Cavaliers +13.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against Celtics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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