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Predictions › United States › Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors
NBASun 22 Nov, 20:30 United States time

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Chase Center

Boston CelticsAway
113.1 : 108.9
projected points
Golden State WarriorsHome
65%Celtics
35%Warriors
Eagle safe pickWarriors +12.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors is Boston Celtics to win, with a 65% chance. We project Boston Celtics 113.1 and Golden State Warriors 108.9. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -304.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
65%
Projected score
Boston Celtics 113, Golden State Warriors 109
Projected total
222.0 points
Best bet
Warriors +12.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
35% chanceFair price +1821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Warriors 35% and Boston Celtics 65%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 5 and Boston Celtics won 5 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Warriors won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Boston Celtics won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Warriors score 116.8 points a game and let in 110.4. Boston Celtics score 114.8 and let in 104.7. Their recent games average 227.3 and 219.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Golden State Warriors won 0 and Boston Celtics won 2. The last one ended Boston Celtics 120, Golden State Warriors 99.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Celticsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsteam news-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors: Boston Celtics are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden State Warriors host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Sun 22 Nov, 20:30 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors is Boston Celtics to win, with a 65% chance. We project Boston Celtics 113.1 and Golden State Warriors 108.9. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -304.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2337 points scored and 2208 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2296 points scored and 2093 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Golden State Warriors won 0, Boston Celtics won 2. Last time out it finished Boston Celtics 120, Golden State Warriors 99.

Our call

We expect Boston Celtics to score about 113.1 points and Golden State Warriors about 108.9. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +12.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +182.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WarriorsCeltics
Games played2020
Wins1315
Losses75
Points scored23372296
Points conceded22082093
Scored per game116.8114.8
Conceded per game110.4104.7
Home record9W 1L7W 2L
Away record4W 6L8W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Warriors spreadCoversFair
Warriors -1.532%+210
Warriors +1.541%+142
Warriors +4.551%-103
Warriors +7.560%-151
Warriors +10.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
215.564%36%
218.558%42%
221.551%49%
224.544%56%
227.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Warriors +3.5 wins if Warriors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Steph Curry Defends Wife Ayesha After Podcast Criticism

Steph Curry posted on social media to defend his wife Ayesha against podcast comments about her acting role.

11 Nov 2026
NBA

Paul George Scores 36 Points to Lead Celtics Past 76ers

Paul George posted 36 points against his former team as the Boston Celtics beat the Philadelphia 76ers 123-101 on Tuesday.

11 Nov 2026
NBA

Celtics Down 76ers and Mock Brown in First Meeting

Boston beat Philadelphia 123-101 in Jaylen Brown's first game against Jayson Tatum, trolling their former star after the win.

11 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors?

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors is Boston Celtics to win, with a 65% chance. We project Boston Celtics 113.1 and Golden State Warriors 108.9. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors?

We project Boston Celtics 113.1 and Golden State Warriors 108.9, about 222.0 points in total.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2337 points scored and 2208 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2296 points scored and 2093 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics last met?

It ended Boston Celtics 120, Golden State Warriors 99. In the last 2 meetings Golden State Warriors won 0 and Boston Celtics won 2.

What is the best bet for Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors?

Warriors +12.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Warriors against Celtics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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