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NBASun 8 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Boston CelticsAway
119.4 : 106.5
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
85%Celtics
15%Bucks
Eagle safe pickCeltics to win
-592

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks is Boston Celtics to win, with a 85% chance. We project Boston Celtics 119.4 and Milwaukee Bucks 106.5. Our best bet is Celtics to win at -592.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
85%
Projected score
Boston Celtics 119, Milwaukee Bucks 107
Projected total
225.9 points
Best bet
Celtics to win at -592

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtics to win
86% chanceFair price -5922 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 15% and Boston Celtics 85%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 1 of their last 5 and Boston Celtics won 4 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Boston Celtics won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 111.1 points a game and let in 120.3. Boston Celtics score 116.2 and let in 107.3. Their recent games average 231.4 and 223.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Boston Celtics won 3. The last one ended Milwaukee Bucks 101, Boston Celtics 133.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtics to win has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
  • Celticsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks: Boston Celtics are favourites

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks is Boston Celtics to win, with a 85% chance. We project Boston Celtics 119.4 and Milwaukee Bucks 106.5. Our best bet is Celtics to win at -592.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2222 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2323 points scored and 2146 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 1, Boston Celtics won 3. Last time out it finished Milwaukee Bucks 101, Boston Celtics 133.

Our call

We expect Boston Celtics to score about 119.4 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 106.5. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Celtics to win at -592.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksCeltics
Games played2020
Wins614
Losses146
Points scored22222323
Points conceded24072146
Scored per game111.1116.2
Conceded per game120.3107.3
Home record4W 7L10W 3L
Away record2W 7L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks +6.531%+227
Bucks +9.539%+154
Bucks +12.549%+105
Bucks +15.558%-140
Bucks +18.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
219.564%36%
222.558%42%
225.551%49%
228.544%56%
231.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks is Boston Celtics to win, with a 85% chance. We project Boston Celtics 119.4 and Milwaukee Bucks 106.5. Our best bet is Celtics to win at -592.

What is the projected score for Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Boston Celtics 119.4 and Milwaukee Bucks 106.5, about 225.9 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2222 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2323 points scored and 2146 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics last met?

It ended Milwaukee Bucks 101, Boston Celtics 133. In the last 4 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 1 and Boston Celtics won 3.

What is the best bet for Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Celtics to win at -592, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Celtics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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