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NBASat 21 Nov, 22:00 United States time

Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings prediction

Golden 1 Center

Boston CelticsAway
119.1 : 103.2
projected points
Sacramento KingsHome
91%Celtics
9%Kings
Eagle safe pickCeltics -7.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings is Boston Celtics to win, with a 91% chance. We project Boston Celtics 119.1 and Sacramento Kings 103.2. Our best bet is Celtics -7.5 at -310.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
91%
Projected score
Boston Celtics 119, Sacramento Kings 103
Projected total
222.2 points
Best bet
Celtics -7.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtics -7.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento Kings 9% and Boston Celtics 91%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento Kings won 1 of their last 5 and Boston Celtics won 5 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento Kings won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Boston Celtics won 8 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento Kings score 107.7 points a game and let in 120.3. Boston Celtics score 114.8 and let in 104.7. Their recent games average 228.0 and 219.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sacramento Kings won 0 and Boston Celtics won 2. The last one ended Boston Celtics 112, Sacramento Kings 93.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtics -7.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kingsrest between games-5%
  • Celticsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings: Boston Celtics are favourites

The big picture

Sacramento Kings host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Sat 21 Nov, 22:00 at Golden 1 Center. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings is Boston Celtics to win, with a 91% chance. We project Boston Celtics 119.1 and Sacramento Kings 103.2. Our best bet is Celtics -7.5 at -310.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 2 wins and 18 losses in their last 20 games, with 2153 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2296 points scored and 2093 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sacramento Kings won 0, Boston Celtics won 2. Last time out it finished Boston Celtics 112, Sacramento Kings 93.

Our call

We expect Boston Celtics to score about 119.1 points and Sacramento Kings about 103.2. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Celtics -7.5 at -310.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KingsCeltics
Games played2020
Wins215
Losses185
Points scored21532296
Points conceded24072093
Scored per game107.7114.8
Conceded per game120.3104.7
Home record1W 9L7W 2L
Away record1W 9L8W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kings spreadCoversFair
Kings +9.530%+229
Kings +12.539%+155
Kings +15.549%+106
Kings +18.558%-139
Kings +21.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
216.563%37%
219.556%44%
222.549%51%
225.543%57%
228.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kings +3.5 wins if Kings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings?

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings is Boston Celtics to win, with a 91% chance. We project Boston Celtics 119.1 and Sacramento Kings 103.2. Our best bet is Celtics -7.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings?

We project Boston Celtics 119.1 and Sacramento Kings 103.2, about 222.2 points in total.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 2 wins and 18 losses in their last 20 games, with 2153 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2296 points scored and 2093 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Sacramento Kings and Boston Celtics last met?

It ended Boston Celtics 112, Sacramento Kings 93. In the last 2 meetings Sacramento Kings won 0 and Boston Celtics won 2.

What is the best bet for Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings?

Celtics -7.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kings against Celtics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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