Predictions › United States › Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors
NBAWed 11 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Boston CelticsAway
110.7 : 109.9
projected points
Toronto RaptorsHome
55%Celtics
45%Raptors
Eagle safe pickCeltics +7.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors is Boston Celtics to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Celtics 110.7 and Toronto Raptors 109.9. Our best bet is Celtics +7.5 at -310.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Boston Celtics 111, Toronto Raptors 110
Projected total
220.7 points
Best bet
Celtics +7.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtics +7.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Raptors to win
45% chanceFair price +1231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Raptors 45% and Boston Celtics 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Raptors won 3 of their last 5 and Boston Celtics won 5 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Raptors won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Boston Celtics won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Raptors score 116.3 points a game and let in 111.3. Boston Celtics score 116.4 and let in 107.5. Their recent games average 227.6 and 223.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Toronto Raptors won 0 and Boston Celtics won 5. The last one ended Boston Celtics 115, Toronto Raptors 101.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtics +7.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Raptorsrest between games-2%
  • Celticsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors: Boston Celtics shade it

The big picture

Toronto Raptors host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Wed 11 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors is Boston Celtics to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Celtics 110.7 and Toronto Raptors 109.9. Our best bet is Celtics +7.5 at -310.

Toronto Raptors form

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2326 points scored and 2225 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2328 points scored and 2151 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Toronto Raptors won 0, Boston Celtics won 5. Last time out it finished Boston Celtics 115, Toronto Raptors 101.

Our call

We expect Boston Celtics to score about 110.7 points and Toronto Raptors about 109.9. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Celtics +7.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Raptors to win at +123.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RaptorsCeltics
Games played2020
Wins1014
Losses106
Points scored23262328
Points conceded22252151
Scored per game116.3116.4
Conceded per game111.3107.5
Home record9W 2L9W 3L
Away record1W 8L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Raptors spreadCoversFair
Raptors -5.531%+225
Raptors -2.540%+152
Raptors +0.549%+104
Raptors +3.559%-142
Raptors +6.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
214.563%37%
217.557%43%
220.550%50%
223.544%56%
226.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Raptors +3.5 wins if Raptors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors?

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors is Boston Celtics to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Celtics 110.7 and Toronto Raptors 109.9. Our best bet is Celtics +7.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors?

We project Boston Celtics 110.7 and Toronto Raptors 109.9, about 220.7 points in total.

How are Toronto Raptors playing?

Toronto Raptors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2326 points scored and 2225 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2328 points scored and 2151 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Raptors and Boston Celtics last met?

It ended Boston Celtics 115, Toronto Raptors 101. In the last 5 meetings Toronto Raptors won 0 and Boston Celtics won 5.

What is the best bet for Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors?

Celtics +7.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Raptors against Celtics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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