Predictions › United States › Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction

Notre Dame Stadium

Boston College EaglesAway
14.1 : 39.9
projected points
Notre Dame Fighting IrishHome
5%Boston College
95%Notre Dame
Eagle safe pickOver 43.5 points
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 95% chance. We project Boston College Eagles 14.1 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish 39.9. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -307.

Prediction
Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win
Chance
95%
Projected score
Boston College Eagles 14, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 40
Projected total
53.9 points
Best bet
Over 43.5 points at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 43.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Notre Dame Fighting Irish 95% and Boston College Eagles 5%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 4 of their last 5 and Boston College Eagles won 2 of their last 5. Notre Dame Fighting Irish come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Boston College Eagles won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Notre Dame Fighting Irish score 42.3 points a game and let in 15.3. Boston College Eagles score 20.7 and let in 30.7. Their recent games average 57.6 and 51.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 1 and Boston College Eagles won 0. The last one ended Boston College Eagles 10, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 25.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 43.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Notre Dame Fighting Irish are favourites

The big picture

Notre Dame Fighting Irish host Boston College Eagles in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:30 at Notre Dame Stadium. Our prediction for Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 95% chance. We project Boston College Eagles 14.1 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish 39.9. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -307.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have 17 wins and 2 losses in their last 19 games, with 803 points scored and 291 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Boston College Eagles form

Boston College Eagles have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 372 points scored and 553 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 1, Boston College Eagles won 0. Last time out it finished Boston College Eagles 10, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 25.

Our call

We expect Boston College Eagles to score about 14.1 points and Notre Dame Fighting Irish about 39.9. That points to Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win. Our safest bet is Over 43.5 points at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Notre DameBoston College
Games played1918
Wins175
Losses213
Points scored803372
Points conceded291553
Scored per game42.320.7
Conceded per game15.330.7
Home record10W 1L3W 7L
Away record7W 1L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Notre Dame spreadCoversFair
Notre Dame -32.534%+195
Notre Dame -28.543%+130
Notre Dame -25.551%-103
Notre Dame -22.558%-140
Notre Dame -18.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
46.568%32%
50.559%41%
53.551%49%
56.544%56%
60.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Notre Dame +3.5 wins if Notre Dame win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?

Our prediction for Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish is Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, with a 95% chance. We project Boston College Eagles 14.1 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish 39.9. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -307.

What is the projected score for Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?

We project Boston College Eagles 14.1 and Notre Dame Fighting Irish 39.9, about 53.9 points in total.

How are Notre Dame Fighting Irish playing?

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have 17 wins and 2 losses in their last 19 games, with 803 points scored and 291 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Boston College Eagles playing?

Boston College Eagles have 5 wins and 13 losses in their last 18 games, with 372 points scored and 553 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Boston College Eagles last met?

It ended Boston College Eagles 10, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 25. In the last 1 meeting Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 1 and Boston College Eagles won 0.

What is the best bet for Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish?

Over 43.5 points at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Notre Dame against Boston College. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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