EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Uruguay › Boston River vs Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSat 17 Oct, 19:00 Uruguay time

Boston River vs Defensor Sporting prediction

Campeones Olímpicos

Boston RiverHome
1.02 : 0.84
expected goals
Defensor SportingAway
38%Boston River
34%Draw
28%Defensor
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting is Boston River to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Boston River to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Boston River 1.0, Defensor Sporting 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
16% chanceFair price 6.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston River 38%, the draw 34% and Defensor Sporting 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston River took 1 point from their last 5 games and Defensor Sporting took 7 from 5. Defensor Sporting come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston River won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Defensor Sporting won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boston River score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.4. Defensor Sporting score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Boston River games and 8 of Defensor Sporting games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Boston River won 0 and Defensor Sporting won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Defensor Sporting 1, Boston River 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Boston Riverrecent form-6%
Boston River form D L L L LDefensor form L W L W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston River vs Defensor Sporting: Boston River shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boston River host Defensor Sporting in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at Campeones Olímpicos. Our prediction for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting is Boston River to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Boston River form

Boston River have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Defensor Sporting form

Defensor Sporting have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Boston River won 0, Defensor Sporting won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Defensor Sporting 1, Boston River 1.

Our call

We expect Boston River to score about 1.0 goals and Defensor Sporting about 0.8. That points to Boston River to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Boston RiverDefensor
Games played2020
Wins54
Draws57
Losses109
Goals scored2019
Goals conceded2929
Scored per game1.00.9
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record3W 4D 2L4W 1D 6L
Away record2W 1D 8L0W 6D 3L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals56%1.77
Over 2.5 goals29%3.49
Over 3.5 goals12%8.39
Both teams to score37%2.69
Boston River or Draw72%1.39
Defensor Sporting or Draw62%1.62
Boston River to win and Over 2.515%6.70
Defensor Sporting to win and Over 2.511%9.45
Boston River clean sheet43%2.32
Defensor Sporting clean sheet36%2.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.3%
1-015.1%
1-114.1%
0-112.2%
2-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

Our prediction for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting is Boston River to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Boston River to score 1.0 goals and Defensor Sporting 0.8.

Will both teams score in Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Boston River last 20 games and 13 of Defensor Sporting last 20.

How are Boston River playing?

Boston River have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Defensor Sporting playing?

Defensor Sporting have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Boston River and Defensor Sporting last met?

It ended Defensor Sporting 1, Boston River 1. In the last 2 meetings Boston River won 0 and Defensor Sporting won 1.

What is the best bet for Boston River vs Defensor Sporting?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boston River against Defensor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.