Predictions › Uruguay › Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera DivisionSun 1 Nov, 16:00 Uruguay time

Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque prediction

Campeones Olímpicos

Boston RiverHome
0.91 : 1.12
expected goals
Montevideo City TorqueAway
28%Boston River
32%Draw
40%MC Torque
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Montevideo City Torque to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Boston River 0.9, Montevideo City Torque 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boston River 28%, the draw 32% and Montevideo City Torque 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boston River took 7 points from their last 5 games and Montevideo City Torque took 4 from 5. Boston River come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boston River won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Montevideo City Torque won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boston River score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Montevideo City Torque score 1.8 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Boston River games and 12 of Montevideo City Torque games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Boston River won 0 and Montevideo City Torque won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Montevideo City Torque 4, Boston River 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Boston Riverrecent form-1%
  • MC Torquerecent form-3%
Boston River form D W D L LMC Torque form D L L W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque: Montevideo City Torque shade it

The big picture

Boston River host Montevideo City Torque in the Uruguayan Primera Division on Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 at Campeones Olímpicos. Our prediction for Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Boston River form

Boston River have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Montevideo City Torque form

Montevideo City Torque have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Boston River won 0, Montevideo City Torque won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Montevideo City Torque 4, Boston River 1.

Our call

We expect Boston River to score about 0.9 goals and Montevideo City Torque about 1.1. That points to Montevideo City Torque to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Boston RiverMC Torque
Games played2020
Wins612
Draws52
Losses96
Goals scored2235
Goals conceded2625
Scored per game1.11.8
Conceded per game1.31.3
Home record3W 4D 2L6W 1D 4L
Away record3W 1D 7L6W 1D 2L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals61%1.64
Over 2.5 goals33%3.02
Over 3.5 goals15%6.77
Both teams to score41%2.44
Boston River or Draw60%1.66
Montevideo City Torque or Draw72%1.40
Boston River to win and Over 2.512%8.43
Montevideo City Torque to win and Over 2.517%5.75
Boston River clean sheet33%3.07
Montevideo City Torque clean sheet40%2.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-114.0%
0-014.0%
1-011.1%
0-28.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque?

Our prediction for Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque is Montevideo City Torque to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Boston River to score 0.9 goals and Montevideo City Torque 1.1.

Will both teams score in Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Boston River last 20 games and 14 of Montevideo City Torque last 20.

How are Boston River playing?

Boston River have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Montevideo City Torque playing?

Montevideo City Torque have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Boston River and Montevideo City Torque last met?

It ended Montevideo City Torque 4, Boston River 1. In the last 1 meeting Boston River won 0 and Montevideo City Torque won 1.

What is the best bet for Boston River vs Montevideo City Torque?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Boston River against MC Torque. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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