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Predictions › United States › Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls prediction

Broadview Stadium

Bowling Green FalconsAway
20.9 : 28.9
projected points
Buffalo BullsHome
29%Bowling Green
71%Buffalo
Eagle safe pickBuffalo +2.5
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls is Buffalo Bulls to win, with a 71% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.9 and Buffalo Bulls 28.9. Our best bet is Buffalo +2.5 at -295.

Prediction
Buffalo Bulls to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Bowling Green Falcons 21, Buffalo Bulls 29
Projected total
49.8 points
Best bet
Buffalo +2.5 at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Buffalo +2.5
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bowling Green to win
28% chanceFair price +2511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Bulls 71% and Bowling Green Falcons 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Bulls won 2 of their last 5 and Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Bulls won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Bulls score 22.4 points a game and let in 25.9. Bowling Green Falcons score 18.4 and let in 26.6. Their recent games average 48.3 and 45.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Buffalo Bulls won 1 and Bowling Green Falcons won 0. The last one ended Bowling Green Falcons 3, Buffalo Bulls 28.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Buffalo +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls: Buffalo Bulls are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Buffalo Bulls host Bowling Green Falcons in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Broadview Stadium. Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls is Buffalo Bulls to win, with a 71% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.9 and Buffalo Bulls 28.9. Our best bet is Buffalo +2.5 at -295.

Buffalo Bulls form

Buffalo Bulls have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 358 points scored and 414 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Bowling Green Falcons form

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 295 points scored and 425 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Buffalo Bulls won 1, Bowling Green Falcons won 0. Last time out it finished Bowling Green Falcons 3, Buffalo Bulls 28.

Our call

We expect Bowling Green Falcons to score about 20.9 points and Buffalo Bulls about 28.9. That points to Buffalo Bulls to win. Our safest bet is Buffalo +2.5 at -295. Our bold bet is Bowling Green to win at +251.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

BuffaloBowling Green
Games played1616
Wins75
Losses911
Points scored358295
Points conceded414425
Scored per game22.418.4
Conceded per game25.926.6
Home record3W 6L3W 5L
Away record4W 3L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Buffalo spreadCoversFair
Buffalo -14.534%+193
Buffalo -10.544%+129
Buffalo -7.551%-105
Buffalo -4.559%-141
Buffalo -0.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
42.567%33%
46.558%42%
49.551%49%
52.543%57%
56.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Buffalo +3.5 wins if Buffalo win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls?

Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls is Buffalo Bulls to win, with a 71% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.9 and Buffalo Bulls 28.9. Our best bet is Buffalo +2.5 at -295.

What is the projected score for Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls?

We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.9 and Buffalo Bulls 28.9, about 49.8 points in total.

How are Buffalo Bulls playing?

Buffalo Bulls have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 358 points scored and 414 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Bowling Green Falcons playing?

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 11 losses in their last 16 games, with 295 points scored and 425 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Bulls and Bowling Green Falcons last met?

It ended Bowling Green Falcons 3, Buffalo Bulls 28. In the last 1 meeting Buffalo Bulls won 1 and Bowling Green Falcons won 0.

What is the best bet for Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls?

Buffalo +2.5 at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Buffalo against Bowling Green. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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