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Predictions › United States › Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets
College FootballFri 20 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets prediction

Glass Bowl

Bowling Green FalconsAway
20.0 : 38.5
projected points
Toledo RocketsHome
12%Bowling Green
88%Toledo
Eagle safe pickBowling Green +28.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 88% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.0 and Toledo Rockets 38.5. Our best bet is Bowling Green +28.5 at -293.

Prediction
Toledo Rockets to win
Chance
88%
Projected score
Bowling Green Falcons 20, Toledo Rockets 38
Projected total
58.5 points
Best bet
Bowling Green +28.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bowling Green +28.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toledo Rockets 88% and Bowling Green Falcons 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toledo Rockets won 4 of their last 5 and Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 5. Toledo Rockets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toledo Rockets won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toledo Rockets score 33.0 points a game and let in 17.4. Bowling Green Falcons score 18.9 and let in 26.9. Their recent games average 50.4 and 45.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Toledo Rockets won 0 and Bowling Green Falcons won 1. The last one ended Bowling Green Falcons 28, Toledo Rockets 23.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bowling Green +28.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets: Toledo Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toledo Rockets host Bowling Green Falcons in the College Football on Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 at Glass Bowl. Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 88% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.0 and Toledo Rockets 38.5. Our best bet is Bowling Green +28.5 at -293.

Toledo Rockets form

Toledo Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 659 points scored and 348 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Bowling Green Falcons form

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 360 points scored and 511 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Toledo Rockets won 0, Bowling Green Falcons won 1. Last time out it finished Bowling Green Falcons 28, Toledo Rockets 23.

Our call

We expect Bowling Green Falcons to score about 20.0 points and Toledo Rockets about 38.5. That points to Toledo Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Bowling Green +28.5 at -293.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ToledoBowling Green
Games played2019
Wins145
Losses614
Points scored659360
Points conceded348511
Scored per game33.018.9
Conceded per game17.426.9
Home record9W 1L3W 6L
Away record5W 5L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Toledo spreadCoversFair
Toledo -25.533%+204
Toledo -21.542%+136
Toledo -18.550%+101
Toledo -15.557%-134
Toledo -11.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
51.567%33%
55.557%43%
58.550%50%
61.543%57%
65.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Toledo +3.5 wins if Toledo win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets?

Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets is Toledo Rockets to win, with a 88% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.0 and Toledo Rockets 38.5. Our best bet is Bowling Green +28.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets?

We project Bowling Green Falcons 20.0 and Toledo Rockets 38.5, about 58.5 points in total.

How are Toledo Rockets playing?

Toledo Rockets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 659 points scored and 348 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Bowling Green Falcons playing?

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 360 points scored and 511 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toledo Rockets and Bowling Green Falcons last met?

It ended Bowling Green Falcons 28, Toledo Rockets 23. In the last 1 meeting Toledo Rockets won 0 and Bowling Green Falcons won 1.

What is the best bet for Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets?

Bowling Green +28.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Toledo against Bowling Green. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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