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Predictions › United States › Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos prediction

Waldo Stadium

Bowling Green FalconsAway
15.9 : 33.8
projected points
Western Michigan BroncosHome
13%Bowling Green
87%W Michigan
Eagle safe pickW Michigan -7.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos is Western Michigan Broncos to win, with a 87% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 15.9 and Western Michigan Broncos 33.8. Our best bet is W Michigan -7.5 at -299.

Prediction
Western Michigan Broncos to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
Bowling Green Falcons 16, Western Michigan Broncos 34
Projected total
49.7 points
Best bet
W Michigan -7.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

W Michigan -7.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Western Michigan Broncos 87% and Bowling Green Falcons 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Western Michigan Broncos won 4 of their last 5 and Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 5. Western Michigan Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Western Michigan Broncos won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Western Michigan Broncos score 25.6 points a game and let in 16.1. Bowling Green Falcons score 19.2 and let in 26.9. Their recent games average 41.7 and 46.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    W Michigan -7.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos: Western Michigan Broncos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Western Michigan Broncos host Bowling Green Falcons in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at Waldo Stadium. Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos is Western Michigan Broncos to win, with a 87% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 15.9 and Western Michigan Broncos 33.8. Our best bet is W Michigan -7.5 at -299.

Western Michigan Broncos form

Western Michigan Broncos have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 487 points scored and 305 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Bowling Green Falcons form

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 12 losses in their last 17 games, with 326 points scored and 457 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Bowling Green Falcons to score about 15.9 points and Western Michigan Broncos about 33.8. That points to Western Michigan Broncos to win. Our safest bet is W Michigan -7.5 at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

W MichiganBowling Green
Games played1917
Wins155
Losses412
Points scored487326
Points conceded305457
Scored per game25.619.2
Conceded per game16.126.9
Home record9W 1L3W 6L
Away record6W 3L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

W Michigan spreadCoversFair
W Michigan -24.534%+195
W Michigan -20.543%+130
W Michigan -17.551%-103
W Michigan -14.558%-140
W Michigan -10.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
42.567%33%
46.558%42%
49.551%49%
52.543%57%
56.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. W Michigan +3.5 wins if W Michigan win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos?

Our prediction for Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos is Western Michigan Broncos to win, with a 87% chance. We project Bowling Green Falcons 15.9 and Western Michigan Broncos 33.8. Our best bet is W Michigan -7.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos?

We project Bowling Green Falcons 15.9 and Western Michigan Broncos 33.8, about 49.7 points in total.

How are Western Michigan Broncos playing?

Western Michigan Broncos have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 487 points scored and 305 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Bowling Green Falcons playing?

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 12 losses in their last 17 games, with 326 points scored and 457 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos?

W Michigan -7.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in W Michigan against Bowling Green. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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