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Predictions › Colombia › Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC
Colombian Primera AWed 16 Sept, 00:30 Colombia time

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC prediction

La Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FCHome
1.45 : 0.43
expected goals
Alianza FCAway
62%Chicó FC
27%Draw
10%Alianza FC
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score: No
1.36

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Both teams to score: No at 1.36.

Prediction
Boyacá Chicó FC to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Boyacá Chicó FC 1.4, Alianza FC 0.4
Best bet
Both teams to score: No at 1.36
Both teams to score
27%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score: No
74% chanceFair price 1.361 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
22% chanceFair price 4.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boyacá Chicó FC 62%, the draw 27% and Alianza FC 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boyacá Chicó FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and Alianza FC took 4 from 5. Boyacá Chicó FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boyacá Chicó FC won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Alianza FC won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boyacá Chicó FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Alianza FC score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Boyacá Chicó FC games and 8 of Alianza FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Alianza FC won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Alianza FC 1, Boyacá Chicó FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score: No has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Chicó FCrecent form+1%
  • Alianza FCrecent form-4%
  • Chicó FCrest between games-5%
  • Alianza FCrest between games-5%
Chicó FC form W W D D LAlianza FC form W L L L LHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC: Boyacá Chicó FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boyacá Chicó FC host Alianza FC in the Colombian Primera A on Wed 16 Sept, 00:30 at La Independencia. Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Both teams to score: No at 1.36.

Boyacá Chicó FC form

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Alianza FC form

Alianza FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Boyacá Chicó FC won 0, Alianza FC won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Alianza FC 1, Boyacá Chicó FC 1.

Our call

We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score about 1.4 goals and Alianza FC about 0.4. That points to Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score: No at 1.36. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 4.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Chicó FCAlianza FC
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws37
Losses119
Goals scored1516
Goals conceded3528
Scored per game0.80.8
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record6W 2D 1L3W 4D 5L
Away record0W 1D 10L1W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored25%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals57%1.76
Over 2.5 goals29%3.43
Over 3.5 goals12%8.16
Both teams to score27%3.64
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw90%1.11
Alianza FC or Draw38%2.65
Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.525%4.05
Alianza FC to win and Over 2.53%34.81
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet65%1.54
Alianza FC clean sheet23%4.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-021.5%
2-016.0%
0-015.8%
1-110.1%
3-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC?

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Both teams to score: No at 1.36.

What is the score prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score 1.4 goals and Alianza FC 0.4.

Will both teams score in Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC?

Both teams to score has a 27% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Boyacá Chicó FC last 20 games and 9 of Alianza FC last 20.

How are Boyacá Chicó FC playing?

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Alianza FC playing?

Alianza FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Boyacá Chicó FC and Alianza FC last met?

It ended Alianza FC 1, Boyacá Chicó FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Alianza FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Alianza FC?

Both teams to score: No at 1.36, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chicó FC against Alianza FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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