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Predictions › Colombia › Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera AFri 23 Oct, 23:00 Colombia time

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga prediction

La Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FCHome
1.02 : 0.85
expected goals
Atlético BucaramangaAway
38%Chicó FC
34%Draw
29%Bucaramanga
Eagle safe pickBoyacá Chicó FC or Draw
1.36

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.36.

Prediction
Boyacá Chicó FC to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Boyacá Chicó FC 1.0, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.8
Best bet
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.36
Both teams to score
37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw
73% chanceFair price 1.361 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
16% chanceFair price 6.171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boyacá Chicó FC 38%, the draw 34% and Atlético Bucaramanga 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boyacá Chicó FC took 4 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Bucaramanga took 11 from 5. Atlético Bucaramanga come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boyacá Chicó FC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Atlético Bucaramanga won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boyacá Chicó FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Boyacá Chicó FC games and 10 of Atlético Bucaramanga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Bucaramanga 5, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Chicó FCrecent form-1%
  • Bucaramangarecent form+4%
  • Chicó FCrest between games-2%
  • Bucaramangarest between games-5%
Chicó FC form D D W L LBucaramanga form D W W W DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga: Boyacá Chicó FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boyacá Chicó FC host Atlético Bucaramanga in the Colombian Primera A on Fri 23 Oct, 23:00 at La Independencia. Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.36.

Boyacá Chicó FC form

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Boyacá Chicó FC won 0, Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Bucaramanga 5, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.

Our call

We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score about 1.0 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga about 0.8. That points to Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.36. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.17.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Chicó FCBucaramanga
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws47
Losses106
Goals scored1631
Goals conceded3225
Scored per game0.81.6
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record6W 2D 2L3W 5D 1L
Away record0W 2D 8L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored20%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals57%1.77
Over 2.5 goals29%3.47
Over 3.5 goals12%8.31
Both teams to score37%2.67
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw71%1.40
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw62%1.61
Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.515%6.73
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.511%9.26
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet43%2.34
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet36%2.77

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.2%
1-014.9%
1-114.2%
0-112.3%
2-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.36.

What is the score prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score 1.0 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga 0.8.

Will both teams score in Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Boyacá Chicó FC last 20 games and 13 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20.

How are Boyacá Chicó FC playing?

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Boyacá Chicó FC and Atlético Bucaramanga last met?

It ended Atlético Bucaramanga 5, Boyacá Chicó FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 1.

What is the best bet for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.36, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chicó FC against Bucaramanga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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