EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Colombia › Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior
Colombian Primera AWed 28 Oct, 01:05 Colombia time

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior prediction

La Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FCHome
1.05 : 1.37
expected goals
Atlético JuniorAway
28%Chicó FC
29%Draw
43%Atl. Junior
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Junior to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Atlético Junior to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Boyacá Chicó FC 1.1, Atlético Junior 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Boyacá Chicó FC to win
27% chancePrice 3.85+2.1% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boyacá Chicó FC 28%, the draw 29% and Atlético Junior 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Junior the favourite at 1.91.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boyacá Chicó FC took 4 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Junior took 5 from 5. Atlético Junior come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boyacá Chicó FC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Atlético Junior won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boyacá Chicó FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Atlético Junior score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Boyacá Chicó FC games and 11 of Atlético Junior games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Atlético Junior won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Junior 3, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Chicó FCrecent form-1%
  • Atl. Juniorrecent form-1%
  • Chicó FCrest between games-5%
Chicó FC form D L D W LAtl. Junior form D D L L WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior: Atlético Junior shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boyacá Chicó FC host Atlético Junior in the Colombian Primera A on Wed 28 Oct, 01:05 at La Independencia. Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Junior to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Boyacá Chicó FC form

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Atlético Junior form

Atlético Junior have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Boyacá Chicó FC won 0, Atlético Junior won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Junior 3, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.

Our call

We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score about 1.1 goals and Atlético Junior about 1.4. That points to Atlético Junior to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Boyacá Chicó FC to win at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Chicó FCAtl. Junior
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws38
Losses118
Goals scored1629
Goals conceded3533
Scored per game0.81.4
Conceded per game1.81.6
Home record6W 1D 3L3W 7D 1L
Away record0W 2D 8L1W 1D 7L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored20%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Boyacá Chicó FC to win27%3.773.85+2.1%
A Draw27%3.693.15-14.5%
Atlético Junior to win44%2.301.91-16.9%
Over 2.5 goals44%2.292.10-8.3%
Under 2.5 goals52%1.921.63-15.5%
Boyacá Chicó FC +0.550%2.011.77-12.0%
Atlético Junior -0.546%2.181.87-14.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.42
Over 2.5 goals43%2.30
Over 3.5 goals22%4.44
Both teams to score49%2.03
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw57%1.77
Atlético Junior or Draw72%1.39
Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.514%6.90
Atlético Junior to win and Over 2.524%4.24
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet25%3.93
Atlético Junior clean sheet35%2.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
0-111.4%
0-09.7%
1-28.8%
1-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior?

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior is Atlético Junior to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score 1.1 goals and Atlético Junior 1.4.

Will both teams score in Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Boyacá Chicó FC last 20 games and 14 of Atlético Junior last 20.

How are Boyacá Chicó FC playing?

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Atlético Junior playing?

Atlético Junior have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Boyacá Chicó FC and Atlético Junior last met?

It ended Atlético Junior 3, Boyacá Chicó FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Atlético Junior won 1.

What is the best bet for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Junior?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chicó FC against Atl. Junior. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.