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Predictions › Colombia › Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera AFri 25 Sept, 23:10 Colombia time

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto prediction

La Independencia

Boyacá Chicó FCHome
1.54 : 0.78
expected goals
Deportivo PastoAway
55%Chicó FC
27%Draw
18%Pasto
Eagle safe pickBoyacá Chicó FC or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Boyacá Chicó FC to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Boyacá Chicó FC 1.5, Deportivo Pasto 0.8
Best bet
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Boyacá Chicó FC 55%, the draw 27% and Deportivo Pasto 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Boyacá Chicó FC took 8 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Pasto took 5 from 5. Boyacá Chicó FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Boyacá Chicó FC won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Deportivo Pasto won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Boyacá Chicó FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Deportivo Pasto score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Boyacá Chicó FC games and 10 of Deportivo Pasto games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Deportivo Pasto won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Pasto 2, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Chicó FCrecent form+1%
  • Pastorecent form-1%
  • Pastorest between games-5%
Chicó FC form W W D D LPasto form W L D L DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto: Boyacá Chicó FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Boyacá Chicó FC host Deportivo Pasto in the Colombian Primera A on Fri 25 Sept, 23:10 at La Independencia. Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.20.

Boyacá Chicó FC form

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Deportivo Pasto form

Deportivo Pasto have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Boyacá Chicó FC won 0, Deportivo Pasto won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Pasto 2, Boyacá Chicó FC 0.

Our call

We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score about 1.5 goals and Deportivo Pasto about 0.8. That points to Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.76.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Chicó FCPasto
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws33
Losses1112
Goals scored1523
Goals conceded3533
Scored per game0.81.1
Conceded per game1.81.6
Home record6W 2D 1L2W 0D 7L
Away record0W 1D 10L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored25%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.46
Over 3.5 goals20%4.92
Both teams to score43%2.32
Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw82%1.22
Deportivo Pasto or Draw45%2.21
Boyacá Chicó FC to win and Over 2.529%3.51
Deportivo Pasto to win and Over 2.58%12.20
Boyacá Chicó FC clean sheet46%2.17
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet22%4.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.5%
1-112.5%
2-011.7%
0-010.6%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto is Boyacá Chicó FC to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Boyacá Chicó FC to score 1.5 goals and Deportivo Pasto 0.8.

Will both teams score in Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Boyacá Chicó FC last 20 games and 11 of Deportivo Pasto last 20.

How are Boyacá Chicó FC playing?

Boyacá Chicó FC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Deportivo Pasto playing?

Deportivo Pasto have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Boyacá Chicó FC and Deportivo Pasto last met?

It ended Deportivo Pasto 2, Boyacá Chicó FC 0. In the last 1 meeting Boyacá Chicó FC won 0 and Deportivo Pasto won 1.

What is the best bet for Boyacá Chicó FC vs Deportivo Pasto?

Boyacá Chicó FC or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Chicó FC against Pasto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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